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June 08, 2024, 04:47:37 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 1022497 times)
Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #25 on: February 08, 2016, 12:16:13 PM »

1972:



Republican: Richard Nixon (California)/Spiro T. Agnew (Maryland) - 43.01%, 330 EVs
American Independent: John G. Schmitz (California)/Thomas J. Anderson (Tennessee) - 37.45%, 205 EVs
Democratic: George McGovern (South Dakota)/Sargent Shriver (Maryland) - 18.91%, 3 EVs
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #26 on: February 08, 2016, 07:51:45 PM »

2016:



John Kasich/Marco Rubio: 349 EV, 53.6%
Claire McCaskill/Elizabeth Warren: 189 EV, 44.7%
Your obsession has come too far. There is no way Kasich wins Michigan, Minnesota, Maine's 2nd, and New Mexico without winning New Hampshire.
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #27 on: February 13, 2016, 11:32:43 AM »
« Edited: February 13, 2016, 11:35:07 AM by Senator Kent »

Republican Troubles from the Electoral College

2016


Republican: Gov. John Kasich (Ohio)/Sen. Marco Rubio (Florida) - 48.3%, 269 EVs
Democratic: frm. SecState Hillary Clinton (New York)/Sen. Tim Kaine (Virginia) - 47.9%, 269 EVs


The Democrats narrowly win back control of the Senate, but the GOP holds the House. President Kasich is inaugurated on January 20, while Vice President Kaine is sworn in a few weeks later.

2020

Democratic: Vice President Tim Kaine (Virginia)/former SecHUD Julian Castro (Texas) - 48.8%, 282 EVs
Republican: President John Kasich (Ohio)/Gov. Nikki Haley (South Carolina) - 49.1%, 256 EVs


In a cruel twist of fate, President Kasich again wins the popular vote, but despite a prosperous economy and a relatively peaceful world, he loses the electoral vote. Tim Kaine is sworn in as the 46th President of the United States.

2024


Republican: Gov. Marco Rubio (Florida)/Sen. Justin Amash (Michigan) - 51.8%, 294 EVs
Democratic: President Tim Kaine (Virginia)/Vice President Julian Castro (Texas) - 46.3%, 244 EVs


The economic downturn and increase in Chinese aggression in the Asia-Pacific region greatly contributed to President Kaine's defeat to the charismatic Governor of Florida. However, despite a relatively comfortable margin of victory in the popular vote, the nature of the electoral college made the election much closer than it actually was.
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #28 on: February 15, 2016, 11:20:42 PM »



Republican: Gov. John Kasich (Ohio)/Sen. Christopher Nixon Cox (New York) - 52.38%, 343 EVs
Democratic: Gov. Andrew Cuomo (New York)/Sen. Michael Huckabee (Arkansas) - 47.33%, 195 EVs
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #29 on: February 17, 2016, 04:09:11 PM »



Democratic: Franklin D. Roosevelt (New York)/John Nance Garner (Texas) - 49.16%, 269 EVs
Republican: Dwight D. Eisenhower (Kansas)/Richard Nixon (California) - 49.12%, 262 EVs
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #30 on: February 21, 2016, 11:58:00 AM »
« Edited: February 21, 2016, 12:00:09 PM by Senator Kent »

Ronald Reagan (1980) vs. Barack Obama (2012):



Republican: Ronald W. Reagan (California)/George H.W. Bush (Texas) - 49.01%, 274 EVs
Democratic: Barack Obama (Illinois)/Joe Biden (Delaware) - 49.32%, 264 EVs


Close States:

Iowa: 0.65%
North Carolina: 0.76%
Ohio: 0.81%
New Mexico: 1.76%
Virginia: 1.77%

Pennsylvania: 2.32%
Colorado: 3.28%
Wisconsin: 4.83%
Michigan: 5.01%

New Hampshire: 5.17%
Georgia: 5.17%
Florida: 5.18%
Oregon: 5.56%
New Jersey: 5.75%

South Carolina: 5.77%
Mississippi: 5.98%

Washington: 6.00%
California: 6.53%

Missouri: 6.95%
Illinois: 7.30%
Nevada: 8.71%
Connecticut: 9.22%
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #31 on: February 22, 2016, 04:54:48 PM »



Republican: Richard Nixon (California)/Spiro T. Agnew (Maryland) - 50.00%, 307 EVs
Republican: Ronald Reagan (California)/George H.W. Bush (Texas) - 50.00%, 231 EVs
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #32 on: February 26, 2016, 11:00:37 PM »

I'm surprised Clinton lost Rhode Island to Reagan.
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #33 on: February 28, 2016, 03:18:31 PM »

Ronald Reagan (1984) vs. Barack Obama (2012):


Republican: Ronald Reagan (California)/George H.W. Bush (Texas) - 52.68%, 377 EVs
Democratic: Barack Obama (Illinois)/Joe Biden (Delaware) - 45.77%, 161 EVs


Democratic percentage in each state:



Republican percentage in each state:

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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #34 on: March 16, 2016, 03:10:52 PM »

2008 Presidential Election:



Democratic: 52.93%, 349 EVs
Republican: 45.65%, 189 EVs

Close states:

Arkansas: 0.02%
Arizona: 0.70%

Virginia: 1.57%
Missouri: 2.60%

North Carolina: 2.65%
West Virginia: 3.12%
Tennessee: 4.54%

Florida: 4.77%
Louisiana: 4.81%
Colorado: 5.05%
Georgia: 6.91%
Nevada: 7.06%
South Carolina: 7.43%
Ohio: 7.69%
New Mexico: 8.91%
Iowa: 9.07%
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #35 on: March 22, 2016, 12:51:29 PM »

Ronald Reagan (1980) vs. Bill Clinton (1992):



Republican: Ronald Reagan (California)/George H.W. Bush (Texas) - 47.54%, 435 EVs
Democratic: Bill Clinton (Arkansas)/Al Gore (Tennessee) - 40.29%, 103 EVs
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #36 on: March 27, 2016, 03:38:41 PM »

United States Presidential Election, 1980:



Democratic: Tip O'Neill (Massachusetts)/Jim Wright (Texas) - 50.31%, 306 EVs
Republican: Bob Michel (Illinois)/Trent Lott (Mississippi) - 47.60%, 232 EVs
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #37 on: March 27, 2016, 06:21:25 PM »



Republican: Ronald Reagan (California)/George H.W. Bush (Texas) - 50.06%, 401 EVs
Democratic: George Wallace (Alabama)/Curtis LeMay (California) - 41.40%, 137 EVs
Independent: John B. Anderson (Illinois)/Patrick Lucey (Wisconsin) - 8.54%, 0 EVs
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #38 on: March 29, 2016, 12:24:36 PM »

Guess what this is.



Republican Candidate - 51.2%, 321 EVs

Democratic Candidate - 47.1%, 217 EVs
2012 with the demographics flipped.
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #39 on: April 01, 2016, 06:30:41 PM »

1968:


Republican: Richard Nixon (California)/Spiro T. Agnew (Maryland) - 43.01%, 394 EVs
American: George Wallace (Alabama)/Curtis LeMay (California) - 18.91%, 77 EVs
Democratic: Hubert H. Humphrey (Minnesota)/Edmund Muskie (Maine) - 37.45%, 67 EVs



1972:


Republican: Richard Nixon (California)/Spiro T. Agnew (Maryland) - 41.84%, 391 EVs
American: George Wallace (Alabama)/Curtis LeMay (California) - 27.40%, 130 EVs
Democratic: George McGovern (South Dakota)/Sargent Shriver (Maryland) - 23.17%, 17 EVs

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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #40 on: April 02, 2016, 10:36:04 PM »
« Edited: April 02, 2016, 10:41:41 PM by Speaker Kent »

1968:


Republican: Richard Nixon (California)/Spiro T. Agnew (Maryland) - 43.01%, 394 EVs
American: George Wallace (Alabama)/Curtis LeMay (California) - 18.91%, 77 EVs
Democratic: Hubert H. Humphrey (Minnesota)/Edmund Muskie (Maine) - 37.45%, 67 EVs



1972:


Republican: Richard Nixon (California)/Spiro T. Agnew (Maryland) - 41.84%, 391 EVs
American: George Wallace (Alabama)/Curtis LeMay (California) - 27.40%, 130 EVs
Democratic: George McGovern (South Dakota)/Sargent Shriver (Maryland) - 23.17%, 17 EVs


1976:



Republican: Gerald Ford (Michigan)/Bob Dole (Kansas) - 39.82%, 387 EVs
American: George Wallace (Alabama)/John Schmitz (California) - 30.71%, 130 EVs
Democratic: Walter Mondale (Minnesota)/Jerry Brown (California) - 29.46%, 21 EVs



In the aftermath of Nixon's resignation, the Democrats hoped to capitalize on the Republicans' unpopularity and recover from their humiliation over the past decade. Unfortunately, despite near-perfect conditions, the Democratic victory was spoiled by the American Independent Party, and though he performed 6% better than McGovern, Mondale only picked up Rhode Island, and even lost in his home state of Minnesota.

Following their third consecutive loss, Democratic party leaders swallowed their pride, and decided to try something radical...

1980:



Democratic Unity: Jimmy Carter (Georgia)/various - 44.39%, 447 EVs
- Democratic: Jimmy Carter (Georgia)/Edward Kennedy (Massachusetts) - 21.73%, 284 EVs
- American: Jimmy Carter (Georgia)/Trent Lott (Mississippi) - 22.66%, 163 EVs
Republican: Gerald Ford (Michigan)/Bob Dole (Kansas) - 36.11%, 91 EVs
Independent Democrat: Eugene McCarthy (Minnesota)/Shirley Chisholm (New York) - 18.45%, 0 EVs


In a move that shocked everyone, the leaders of the Democratic Party approached their American Independent counterparts to propose an electoral alliance. Though both parties hated each other (the Democrats regarded the AIP as racist backstabbers, and the American Independents saw the Democrats as out-of-touch elitist hippies), they hated the Republicans more. Around this time, the AIP was also trying to shed its image as a racist segregationist party to broaden its appeal, and had moderated, though it seemed unable to decide whether it had evolved into a standard conservative party barely distinguishable from the Republicans or a populist party. Both parties agreed on a compromise candidate, Governor Jimmy Carter of Georgia, one of the last remaining Southern Democrats. They each ran their own ticket with Carter on top but with a running mate from their own party.

Of course, not everyone was happy with this decision to work together. Former Senator Eugene McCarthy was disgusted by his party's alliance with the AIP, and split, running as an Independent. McCarthy did very well, and kept Carter from winning a majority of the vote. In the end, however, this was not enough to save President Ford, and Jimmy Carter became the first Democrat to be elected President in over a decade.


On the above map, the popular vote percentages reflect Carter's total percentage (sum of his votes on the Democratic and American Independent tickets), while the color shows which of the two tickets had more votes in the state. For example, the ticket that received the highest of votes in California was the Republican Ford/Dole ticket (40.09%), with Carter/Kennedy winning 27.34% and Carter/Lott winning 13.59%. But, since Carter wins 40.93% overall in the state and the Democratic ticket did better, it's shown as D-40%.

And I understand that the colors might get a little confusing, but Carter, not McCarthy, wins Hawaii (39.58% to Ford's 39.37% and McCarthy's 20.24%).
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #41 on: April 03, 2016, 10:18:02 AM »

1984:



Democratic: Jimmy Carter (Georgia)/Edward Kennedy (Massachusetts) - 49.96%, 470 EVs
Republican: Bob Dole (Kansas)/Jack Kemp (New York) - 40.88%, 68 EVs
Independent Democrat: Eugene McCarthy (Minnesota)/Shirley Chisholm (New York) - 8.65%, 0 EVs
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #42 on: April 11, 2016, 09:34:54 PM »

1948:


1952:


1956:


1960:


1964:


1968:


1972:


1976:


1980:


1984:


1988:


1992:


1996:


2000:


2004:


2008:


2012:
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #43 on: April 14, 2016, 09:38:36 PM »

Why Massachusetts and not, say, New Jersey, which has the same number of electoral votes, was actually close, not solidly Democratic, and not Kennedy's home state?
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #44 on: April 19, 2016, 03:30:49 PM »

What kind of scenario could result in this map?



Democratic - 46.67%, 262 EVs
Republican - 53.33%, 261 EVs


Missouri and West Virginia are too close to call and are undergoing numerous recounts.
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #45 on: April 19, 2016, 04:12:43 PM »

What kind of scenario could result in this map?



Democratic - 46.67%, 262 EVs
Republican - 53.33%, 261 EVs


Missouri and West Virginia are too close to call and are undergoing numerous recounts.
I think the default answer for maps that keep the early 20th century N-S alignment is that Republicans did civil rights and there was less migration of Northerners to the Sunbelt than in our world, and more migration of black people (who became wealthier, sooner and are now more libertarian in voting patterns) out of the South.  Latinos are clearly voting for the Democrats on economic issues.
It actually represents how often each state voted for each party since 1896 (1908 for Oklahoma, 1912 for NM/AZ, 1960 for AK/HI, 1964 for DC). Predictably, the strongest Democratic states are Arkansas, Hawaii, and DC, and the strongest Republican ones are Maine, Vermont, Indiana, the Dakotas, Nebraska, Kansas, Wyoming, Utah, and Alaska. West Virginia and Missouri are tied at 15-15.
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #46 on: April 20, 2016, 10:37:29 PM »


I see that I'm not the only one who follows r/MapPorn. I'll admit to being confused about this map before seeing the Reddit post though.
An explanation, please?
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #47 on: April 24, 2016, 11:50:05 AM »
« Edited: April 24, 2016, 12:00:50 PM by Speaker Kent »

Bush landslide in 2004:



Republican: President George W. Bush (Texas)/Vice President Dick Cheney (Wyoming) - 59.88%, 516 EVs
Democratic: Senator John Kerry (Massachusetts)/Senator John Edwards (North Carolina) - 39.12%, 22 EVs


Utah is actually more Republican here than D.C. is Democratic, and less Democratic than D.C. is Republican (80.03%-18.49% to 80.69%-16.85%)

Close states:

New York: 0.0015%
Vermont: 1.85%
Rhode Island: 2.46%


Maryland: 5.31%
Massachusetts: 6.87%
Connecticut: 7.32%
Illinois: 7.95%
California: 8.34%
Maine: 9.29%
Hawaii: 9.55%
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #48 on: May 04, 2016, 10:16:45 AM »
« Edited: May 04, 2016, 10:24:27 AM by Speaker Kent »

1980:


Republican: frm. Gov. Ronald Reagan (CA)/Sen. Howard Baker (TN) - 57.41%, 519 EVs
Democratic: Pres. Jimmy Carter (GA)/Vice Pres. Walter Mondale (MN) - 39.65%, 19 EVs
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,480
United States


« Reply #49 on: May 04, 2016, 10:26:15 AM »

1984:


Republican: Pres. Ronald Reagan (CA)/Vice Pres. Howard Baker (TN) - 60.80%, 535 EVs
Democratic: frm. Vice Pres. Walter Mondale (MN)/Rep. Geraldine Ferraro (NY) - 36.54%, 3 EVs
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