When does Hillary clinch the nomination? (user search)
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  When does Hillary clinch the nomination? (search mode)
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Author Topic: When does Hillary clinch the nomination?  (Read 3494 times)
Lyin' Steve
SteveMcQueen
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,310


« on: April 12, 2016, 01:14:14 PM »

March 15
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Lyin' Steve
SteveMcQueen
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,310


« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2016, 01:12:36 PM »

Well if this were a football game we are in the third quarter, if we look at it in terms of each quarter having about 1/4 of the delegates, then the first quarter ended on Super Tuesday 3/1, the second Quarter ended on Super Tuesday 3/15. The third quarter ends on 4/26.

The score so far is:

CandidateQ1Q2Q3Q4TOTAL
Clinton606566136-1308
Sanders415444237-1096
Remaining--63110161647

Sanders was 313 'points' behind at halftime and he has been doing well in the third quarter so far. If he wins 60 more delegates than Clinton from the remaining states in the third quarter (NY, PA, CT, DE, MD, RI) then you could argue he is on pace to win the game. But to extend the metaphor, Sanders is going to need Clinton to start fumbling and throwing interceptions for him to actually win more delegates out of those 6 states.  
 
If Sanders is still over 200 'points' behind at the end of the quarter (4/26), it doesn't look good for him to win the game.

I love this post....   Smiley

CandidateQ1Q2Q3Q4TOTAL
Clinton606566473-1645
Sanders415444459-1318
Remaining---10161016
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