Republican Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[Why]

51% of Republican voters feel that they have been lied too by Republican politicians

49% are stupid.

[Why]

This is going to be a lot bigger margin than the 8% I predicted.

[Why]

If the exit polls end up being close to the actual vote, Kasich should really drop out.

He should stay in until after NY if he wants to stop Trump

[Why]

If the exit polls end up being close to the actual vote, Kasich should really drop out.

He should stay in until after NY if he wants to stop Trump

With both Cruz and Kasich we could possibly keep Trump under 50 in New York.

On a side note, if Trump is under 50 in New York, will he ever hit 50 anywhere?

New Jersey?

[Why]

Walker dropped out at the right time, he was getting beaten like a slave who got caught with his master's wife.

[Why]

Walker dropped out at the right time, he was getting beaten like a slave who got caught with his master's wife.

Wouldn't that mean that the slave is dead???

So was Walker's campaign.

[Why]

I'M GONNA WIN WISCONSIN! YOU'RE IN FOR A SURPRISE TONIGHT!

- trump

I wonder whether that might have just had the effect of inspiring more people to go out and vote against him.

[Why]

Walker dropped out at the right time, he was getting beaten like a slave who got caught with his master's wife.

Plus his "we need to unify" line plays really well now, after the rise of Trump. He looks almost prophetic.

It was either a very lucky guess, use of excuse or he had some very smart advise.

[Why]

Surely Trump is not getting all the votes in Iowa County

[Why]

Surely Trump is not getting all the votes in Iowa County

Only two precincts so far, but yep.

Honestly, I'm not overly surprised. Those areas are the sort he's strongest in.

It has gone up to 5 precincts now.

[Why]

I'm thinking Cruz 39, Trump 3 (CD 7)

Hard to see Cruz winning CD 3, but he should almost surely be OK in CD 1 and sweep everything else.

That is what I am thinking, 3 and 7 Trump, the rest Cruz

[Why]

That weird county has been fixed, and Trump is leading by 6, not 100.

I think the number of Trump votes was correct they just forgot the small matter of Cruz or Kasich votes.

[Why]

So far, CD 3 has Trump up 7 but is only 5% in. CD 2 is very close with a 1 point difference. CD 7 has Trump up 4 with 17% in, and CD 4 isn't in at all.

So it comes down to Racine in CD 2?

Isn't Racine CD 1?

Yes.

[Why]

If the rest of Dane goes to Cruz in a similar margin to what is in now it will swamp the rest of CD 2 and ensure Cruz wins.

[Why]

Ok, I'm calling CD 7 for Trump. That leaves 2, 3, and 4 (with no results in). CD 2 looks pretty good for Cruz since Dane is only 24% in, though CD 3 is also looking pretty good for Trump.

I agree, 7 is Trumps, 3 is strongly leaning that way as well. 2 is leaning to Cruz and 4 looks good for Cruz on the basis of the county voting information.

[Why]

Who won Waukesha County?

Cruz put Trump over his knee and smacked him like a little boy and now Trump has run off crying about its unfairness.

[Why]

A little bit of a logical contradiction from Mr. Trump

Cruz cannot simultaneously be:

-A lier/loser/unlikable person who no one he works with will support

and

-The candidate beloved by the establishment involved in some vast conspiracy to deny Trump delegates

Logic and conspiracies are at opposite ends of human thinking.

[Why]

Trump gained a bit in CD 2 with Green County all coming in with him winning it. I still expect the rest of Dane to extend Cruz's lead.

[Why]

Is the reason AP has no results for CD 4 because they are just counting results from counties that are entirely in an CD, but do not have access to which precincts in divided counties are in each CD?

[Why]

St. Croix just flipped to Cruz.

That is in CD 7

[Why]

What does this say about ARG (American Research Group) and their polling done between April 1-3.
That poll showed trump winning the state by a 10% spread (trump 42, Cruz 32, Kasich 23).
They were way off !

They've never really put out good polls as far as I know.

ARG just released a statement saying they forgot to poll the southeast of the state because the poll workers thought it was in Illinois.

That is one sorry excuse. I'm not even sure I believe them.

I think it is just a marty joke and it was a funny one.

[Why]

Any chance La Crosse could chance to being in Cruz's favour as well?

[Why]

Cruz is not going to get 50%

[Why]

Cruz leading in the first results in Pierce.

[Why]

If Trump gets close to 1237 and manages to get enough unpledged delegates we could know before the convention.