TX-SEN: True to Form

[Young Conservative]

Abbott and Cruz, if they win will likely be in a single digit margin.

There are no signs that Abbott is even remotely in danger of losing reelection. And the only reason the Senate race is getting so much attention is because Democrats hope that this is the third seat they will pick up (after NV and AZ) while holding all of their seats.

I don't think it's as strategic as all that. I think Cruz is well known and deeply hated, #blueTexas has been a meme for long enough, and Beto is a young (for a politician) good looking (for a politician) candidate, and so the educated/politically active portion of the Democratic base that makes small-medium donations is excited about the race, and so drives national Democratic attention.

Cruz isn't hated here though. He's the kind of Reaganite on steroids people vote for here. He beat Trump in the Republican primaries. He'll run ahead of Trump in a pretty significant fashion, much like the other far-right Republicans did down ballot.

To what extent, if any, will the Cruz sex scandal play in this race? Trump has accused Ted Cruz of having multiple affairs and being the biggest liar he's ever met.

Cruz doesn't have a sex scandal. The National Enquirer is not a news source.

[Young Conservative]

A nearly Point Trump win does not mean Texas is being lost by Republicans to the Democrats. Texas is the epicenter of all types of Republicans that would hate Trump. If the nominee was any other Republican, Trump would have won by Bush 2004 margins in the state.

[Young Conservative]

 Cruz will win by double digits; Atlas will be sad yet again.

[Young Conservative]

He holds super pac money high and he lies! Lyin' Ted!

Give an example of a lie.

[Young Conservative]

He holds super pac money high and he lies! Lyin' Ted!

Give an example of a lie.

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/01/fox_news_is_getting_really_good_at_spotting_ted_cruz_s_lies.html

1. Don't cite Slate please in academic discussion.
2. The videos in the debate were wording issues, meant to sound moderate when the position really was not and/or flip flops depending on how you take it.  A flop is not a lie; it is a flop.

[Young Conservative]

MJ covers O'Rourke in this long cheer article:

http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2017/09/beto-orourke-democrats-texas-ted-cruz/

A left wing media outlet fan girling  over a left wing candidate is not news

[Young Conservative]

Even for me, an enlightened poster who already knows that O'Rourke will win, these numbers are pretty stunning.

That data is actually incredible.

What is the comparison to 2006?

[Young Conservative]

Maybe they are waiting because they want to check the status after the shooting?

[Young Conservative]

No one knows who Beto is.  From a media stand point.  Mike Espy and David Baria are much better known. But, in this environment, neither are flipping, though

These statements are just false.

[Young Conservative]

Lol at people saying “but Clinton won it 1992!”


What would those same people say to someone in 2004 who said “but Reagan won California in ‘84?”

Roughly the same time elapsed.....

[Young Conservative]

The GOP  IS NOT worried about Cruz losing. They worry the margin will be underwhelming and allow Dems to gather enthusiasm in the state.

[Young Conservative]

This is weird. Cruz declined to participate in this:

https://twitter.com/RobertTGarrett/status/1050844558098087937

And now he suddenly apparently wants to participate again. Did his internals suddenly get closer or something ()

Very weird.

Only a secret reptilian shapeshifter like Cruz's would use words like "protective cocoon"

Beto was the one that declined the Debate. Beto refused to debate, would only agree to a town hall, which Ted Cruz declined. Beto is clearly the one that is scared to confront Ted one-on-one, since he looked so poorly last time.