Takeover of the Nerds

[LLR]

Online Data Collector Leip to Run for 2006 Massachusetts Governor Election.

Dave Leip, age 35, has announced today his plans to run for governor. He will face a tough fight running against Deval Patrick, Chris Gabrieli, and Thomas Rielly. Leip runs an internet election data site called "The Election Atlas."

Leip announced his candidacy on the campus of MIT.

One enthusiastic member of his website, one "jfern", reportedly from California, said "I like that he's not from the establishment. Go Dave!"


Comments welcome.

[LLR]

I just said "It's lit, b[inks]" IRL.

Oh dear, I hope nobody heard you

Thanks!

[LLR]

LEIP EARNS SURPRISE PRIMARY WIN
Dave Leip today surprised everyone by winning the Massachusetts Democratic Gubernatorial Primary, expected to be an easy win for Deval Patrick. Let's look at the map:



Dave Leip √ 38.6%
Deval Patrick 36.4%
Thomas Rielly 16.4%
Chris Gabrieli 8%

Attorney General Patrick has stated that he will be returning to the private sector, wholeheartedly endorsing Leip directly after it was called. Leip has stated he'd like to move on to the next round.

[LLR]

Leip '06!
Also, does this mean Dubya Downfall's on hold?

No, I intend to continue both, although both may be infrequent.

[LLR]

MASSACHUSETTS MIDTERM POLL

Ted Kennedy 65%
Kenneth Chase 20%

Dave Leip 49%
Kerry Healey 28%
Christy Mihos 10%
Grace Ross 3%


JOHN SWEENEY TO RUN FOR SENATE
Rep. John Sweeney of New York's 20th CD will be running for Senate, with his house seat being left vacant. One contender to jump in was a Hudson, NY native...


To be continued...

[LLR]

Just letting everyone know that as this timeline progresses, I might need someone to help me collect information -  or at least someone's who's been here longer than I have. If anyone would be interested in that kind of thing, PM me.

Thanks, LLR

[LLR]

Can't tell how much of this is serious. But if anyone's actually interested,

PM me.

Thanks again, LLR.

[LLR]

NY-20 Republican Congressional Primary

Steve Dunn 51.6%
Sandy Treadwell 48.4%

In this nail biter of a race, Steve Dunn of Hudson was nominated. He will face democrat Kirsten Gillibrand in a traditionally republican district. Dunn was noted for receiving 97% of the vote in his home town of Hudson. Dunn would become the second person (after Wisconsin's Tammy Baldwin) to be elected to congress while being openly gay, if he were to win.

Meanwhile, on the Atlas Forum

(Congressional Elections sub forum) NY-20: Torie's running!

Poll: would you vote for Torie?
Yes: 77%
No: 15%
Undecided: 8%

Long live atlas!

[LLR]

It's certainly interesting.  But why am I not featured!  This is nearly traitorous!

Your time will come. All our times will come. (Would you have been constitutionally eligible to run for anything in '06?)

[LLR]

I won't be there until '26. 20 more years, I guess. When will coverage of Election Night '06 come around?

Don't rush me, please. I've got a Libertarian Debate to watch!

[LLR]

ELECTION NIGHT 2006

Hello all, and welcome to coverage of the election night 2006. The Democrats will be looking to rally off of Bush's low approval ratings to retake the Senate and House. It will not be easy to do that, but it is not out of the realm of possibility.

We can make a projection. Dave Leip has won the Massachusetts Gubernatorial Race. He will succeed Mitt Romney as the next Governor of Massachusetts. Leip, 35, ran a longshot bid and upset Deval Patrick in the primary last summer, and here he is, governor of Massachusetts.

Final results:

House:
Democrats 232 √
Republicans 203

Senate:
Democrat 49 (+2) √
Republicans 49


Dave Leip won the Governor's race easily.

Dave Leip 56% √
Kerry Healey 32%
Other 12%

Steve Dunn (aka Torie) was elected to the House.

Steve Dunn 50% √
Kirsten Gillibrand 49.2%


Thanks for reading! A couple updates in and I've already killed Deval Patrick and Kirsten Gillibrand's careers! What do you think? Comments welcome!

[LLR]

Nice.
How are Dunn's reelection chances looking like in 2008?
Also Adam Griffin HAS to be somewhere eventually.

He's 18 as of 2006, give it time. As to Torie, it depends on who the presidential nominee is. With Giuliani, he should be fine.

Muon for Senate or Gov!

We'll see...

Haslam needs to exist in this...

Things can be arranged for.

[LLR]

YAYYYY btw... TN-2

Might need to know when you'd be eligible. Same heads up goes to all who want to be in this: I need age and location
(I promise you I am not a scary don't want hurt is ok friend)

[LLR]

If you'd like to be in the timeline, please fill out this form. Thanks!

EDIT: Sike not any more

[LLR]

Thanks for the support, y'all. You're the best. I'll do my best to include everyone I can!
Also thanks to Dar for helping me out with stuff, really appreciate it dude.

Ok, I feel bad about having 5 or 6 updates in 33 posts, so I'm gonna try to keep the updates to a high and the chit-chat to a low. Get ready for some more election action!

[LLR]

HASTERT RESIGNS; SPECIAL ELECTION IMMINENT

Following the election of Nancy Pelosi as Speaker of the House, former Spkr. Dennis Hastert has decided to resign from his seat in the 14th district of Illinois. It is unknown who will succeed him, but a possible contender is 47-year-old State Sen. John Muon, Jr. (muon2). Muon hasn't confirmed that he'll enter the race, which is in no way a safe bet for the Republicans.

Poll center:

Do you approve of Gov. Dave Leip's term as governor so far?
Approve 62%
Disapprove 22%

In a hypothetical race between John Muon, Jr. and Bill Foster on 3/8/2008, how would you vote?

Bill Foster 45%
John Muon 51%


Thanks for reading, feel free to comment. Signup here: http://goo.gl/forms/SC72CvD8LPzVpgFz1
You guys are the best, thanks for the support

[LLR]

Can I be the intern who unravels the sordid Rubio/Leip Senate coatroom sex scandal?

Um.... I guess so??

[LLR]

A LOOK IN: The Massachusetts Government Under Dave

Hi - I've led the government of Massachusetts for over a year now, let's take a look at all I've accomplished.

-Improved voter registration: I've used the Internet to make sure everyone can vote
-Improved election results and totaling: Using my expertise of election maps, Massachusetts election results are unlike any you've seen before
-Improved rights for same-sex couples: Building upon Gov. Romney's work in this field
-Bipartisan bills passed: As a longtime independent, I've worked with both sides of the aisle in the state legislature

Thanks, Dave

PRESIDENTIAL PREVIEW

Democratic National Poll
Barack Obama 25%
Hillary Clinton 22%
John Edwards 16%
Mark Warner 10%
Bill Richardson 7%
Joe Biden 4%

Republican National Poll

Rudy Giuliani 34%
John McCain 16%
Mitt Romney 16%
Tim Pawlenty 11%
Mike Huckabee 8%
George Pataki 3%


Hope you enjoyed! Comments welcome!
-LLR

[LLR]

OBAMA, ROMNEY WIN IOWA CAUCUSES

Democratic Primary

Sen. Barack Obama 35%
Sen. John Edwards 27%
Sen. Hillary R. Clinton 24%
Sen. Mark Warner 8%
Gov. Bill Richardson 3%
Sen. Joe Biden 1%

An embarrassing result for Sen. Clinton leaves many disappointed, as Obama claims a large victory. Richardson and Biden both dropped out after getting dismal results because of the viability threshold. The threshold also contributed to the lackluster showing of Sen. Warner. Moving into New Hampshire, Obama appears to be the frontrunner.

Republican Primary
Gov. Mitt Romney 25%
Gov. Mike Huckabee 22%
Mayor Rudy Giuliani 18%
Gov. Tim Pawlenty 14%
Sen. John McCain 12%
Gov. George Pataki 1%

Governor Romney held out to secure a victory over Huckabee and Giuliani. John McCain, coming in 5th, was unfazed, saying he had "optimistic feelings about what [will] happen in New Hampshire!"


GOV. LEIP ENDORSES OBAMA

Massachusetts Governor and beloved data collector Dave Leip made his first comment on the presidential race this Wednesday, endorsing Senator Obama. Massachusetts is one of many states to vote on February 5th, and is a favorable state for Clinton. That being said, Leip's approval rating is very high, especially among Democrats, so Obama may be able to win.


New Hampshire Primary Poll

Democratic Primary
Barack Obama 34%
Hillary Clinton 22%
John Edwards 17%
Mark Warner 12%

Republican Primary
Mitt Romney 28%
John McCain 22%
Rudy Giuliani 14%
George Pataki 12%
Tim Pawlenty 8%
Mike Huckabee 5%


Thanks for reading! All comments are welcome!

[LLR]

Perhaps Sanchez could send McCain or Giuiliani to a comeback victory in Florida?

I thought he was already unraveling

the sordid Rubio/Leip Senate coatroom sex scandal

.

We'll see, Atlasians will mix this race up more than you'd initially think.

[LLR]

TWO FOR OBAMA - A WIN IN NEW HAMPSHIRE

Barack Obama 40%
Hillary Clinton 25%
John Edwards 21%
Mark Warner 11%

The only thing shocking about the Democratic primary was the margin -  15 points! Mark Warner suspended his campaign, endorsing Obama, following a dismal near-single-digit result. Obama's victory speech continued the theme of optimism so prevalent in his campaign so far, and the highlight was when Warner, having rushed across town, surprised Obama by getting on stage and endorsing him.

GIULIANI EARNS UPSET IN NH

Rudy Giuliani 25%
Mitt Romney 23%
John McCain 20%
George Pataki 14%
Tim Pawlenty 9%
Mike Huckabee 7%

Rudy Giuliani, down in third place by about 12 in most polls until last Saturday, climbed quickly to win New Hampshire. Even Rudy himself was absolutely shocked as returns came in, consistently showing a hair-thin victory over Gov. Romney.

-McCain, Pawlenty suspend campaigns
-Giuliani receives burst of support in national polls


YOUNG BOY SEEN RANTING ABOUT NH RESULTS
A Tennessee child, age 8, was caught ranting about the "angry women" who drove Giuliani to victory, remarking how if they had "stayed to vote for Clinton", all would be better. The boy, one Thomas N. Volunteer, quickly became an internet sensation for his high-pitched ranting on Tuesday night. The main story here is how much the young Tennesseean knows about New Hampshire politics, remarking how "2000 was a fluke" and Democrats will "easily win it in 2008".


Thanks for reading, comments welcome!

[LLR]

SUPER TUESDAY UPDATE

*(I promise I'll get back to the Atlasians beginning w/ Muon's special election in March. Anyway.)*

The Republicans

After New Hampshire, the race boiled down to Giuliani v. Romney with Huckabee and Pataki retaining small amounts of support. Huckabee, however, was able to win South Carolina, while Pataki faded away, winning no states. Going into Super Tuesday, Giuliani had very little momentum remaining, having eked out a win in Florida only. Thus, Romney earned many wins on Super Tuesday, causing Huckabee to drop out as well. After, Super Tuesday, the race stands at Romney v. Giuliani with Romney having a substantive delegate lead.


The Democrats



Obama, Clinton, and Edwards prepared for the coming primaries, but Obama clearly had a huge advantage. His only losses as of the Florida primary was a close Edwards win in Nevada, and the Michigan primary where Hillary was the only name on the ballot. But in Florida, polls showed Obama tied for second with Edwards, and sure enough, Hillary won. Super Tuesday led to an unsure outcome in which all three candidates won states. Obama continued his lead in national polls and delegates, and he did look the strongest, but Clinton and Edwards both put up very tough fights.


Thanks for reading! Feel free to comment.

[LLR]

March 8th, 2008

Hello, and welcome to coverage of a special election in Illinois for the 14th Congressional District. The contenders are State Sen. John Muon and physicist Bill Foster. The voters, today, seemed to prefer Muon, who won by 2%.

John Muon, Jr. 51.2%
Bill Foster 48.8%

This special election was made necessary by the resignation of Former Speaker of the House Dennis Hastert. The Republicans have kept the seat, it seems.


PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

The Democrats

Obama swept Washington, Louisiana, and Nebraska on February 9th, causing Hillary Clinton to drop out and leaving Edwards and Obama as the only remaining candidates. Obama again swept DC, Maryland, Virginia, Hawaii and Wisconsin, but Edwards vowed to remain in the race. The next major block of primaries was March 4th, and Edwards was trailing in delegates, votes, and the polls. Edwards salvaged a win in Ohio, but dropped out the following day. BARACK OBAMA IS THE PRESUMPTIVE NOMINEE OF THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY.


The Republicans

The race turned to conservative and western states where Romney had the advantage. Romney's delegate lead, however, fell with Giuliani's three state sweep on February 12th. Romney won Wisconsin by under 3,000 votes, and after a loss in Ohio, Giuliani appeared discouraged. The delegate race and the national polls both remained close, so Giuliani stayed in.


Thanks for reading! Comments are always welcome. !

[LLR]

I have a comment, but it has nothing to do with the timeline (which is good, BTW): Are you actually in Alaska or are you just trying to stand out?

The second.

[LLR]

Bump?

I think it's dead

I have 3 TLs, an ITL, and a diplomacy game to work on