socaldem
skolodji
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,040
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« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2015, 09:07:20 PM » |
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A couple more key tidbits that are positive for candidates from the second choice data in the poll:
Oct. Sept.
Ben Carson 20 19
Marco Rubio 18 7
Carly Fiorina 13 6
Donald Trump 11 12
Jeb Bush 7 9
Ted Cruz 6 12
Mike Huckabee 6 4
Chris Christie 5 4
Rand Paul 2 3
Lindsey Graham 1 *
John Kasich 1 2
Good News
Ben Carson - Though his support decreased marginally, he still has sky-high favorables and is the second choice of 20% of voters. I wonder how many of these are Trump voters
Marco Rubio - Though he has only 8% support as a first choice, he has a solid 18% naming him as second choice. This is an 11% jump from September. I wonder who these folks are--the math suggests that at least some of them must be Trump/Carson folks. This data also suggests that while he has made a positive impression thus far, in order for him to succeed, some people need to be taken out.
Carly Fiorina - A solid 13% select her as their number 2 choice.
Graham - He may have 0 first choice support but he's the runner up for a solid 1%! Grahmentum!
Bad News
Ted Cruz - His second choice support dropped in half from 12 --> 6 percent. This is a bad sign for him as his strategy is to pick up the support when Trump/Carson implode. But it seems like those voters are looking elsewhere...
John Kasich - Dude, you're toast and going the way of Scott Walker very soon. You're not even anyone's second choice. Rubio and Carly stole your thunder.
The Establishment - Establishment candidates have less than 20% first choice support. If everyone dropped out except Trump, Carson, Rubio, the chances are that Rubio would be in THIRD place of the three candidates. And I don't think mainstream-friendly candidates like Bush and Carly are ready to hang up their spurs anytime soon.
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