Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
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Posts: 18,911
Political Matrix E: -6.97, S: -5.91
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« on: June 19, 2016, 08:54:06 PM » |
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« edited: June 19, 2016, 08:58:01 PM by Virginia »
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Some are going to say no, because they don't believe in that sort of electoral complexity
Some are going to say yes, because perhaps they are quick to overestimate effects of certain elections (I may fit into this, though I think realignments take place over time and that no single election tends to be responsible for it all)
But my opinion is that this election will accelerate some existing trends and probably start new ones in some places, but I think it's virtually impossible right now to say which regions this all will happen in.
If I had to guess specifics, I'd say Hispanics abandon the GOP, leaving them with about 20% support or less, even in midterms. Long-term, working class white voters, specifically males, move towards GOP slightly, women move slightly to Democrats, and Nevada/Colorado/Florida experience accelerated pro-Democratic trends due to a deepening realignment and expansion of the Hispanic voter base.
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