Which Republican Senator is the most likely to get blanched? (user search)
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  Which Republican Senator is the most likely to get blanched? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which one?
#1
Cory Gardner
 
#2
Thom Tillis
 
#3
Joni Ernst
 
#4
Steve Daines
 
#5
David Perdue
 
#6
Jeff Flake
 
#7
Dean Heller
 
#8
Ted Cruz
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 84

Author Topic: Which Republican Senator is the most likely to get blanched?  (Read 3838 times)
Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,112
United States


« on: February 13, 2017, 03:09:00 PM »

If Darryl Glenn could come within 7 points of Bennet, then you're delusional if you think Gardner is doomed.

2016 was a Republican wave and Bennet isn't a particularly strong incumbent.

How is a year where the democrats gain seats in both houses of congress and win the popular vote a Republican wave?
Republicans won so many seats in 2014 that Democrats had nowhere to go but up. It was an R wave in the sense that Democrats didn't gain as many in either house than expected. The Senate is more about which seats are up, and which ones are open that anything else (see 2014, all those open seats in (Atlas) blue states made it look more R than it really was).
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Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,112
United States


« Reply #1 on: February 13, 2017, 04:06:41 PM »

I'd say the Colorado Senate race in 2020 is Lean D to start, and Gardner will go down, but with honor (overperforming Trump, losing by 5). Colorado's leftward trend will catch up to him, the 2014 (or maybe 2018) elections were/will be the last hoorah.

The GOP needs to defend North Carolina, Maine (I'd like to see Poliquin primary Collins), and Montana and/or Alaska. Offensive targets are Virginia (Scott Taylor), Minnesota (Paulsen or McFadden), and Michigan (Benishek or Trott).
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