Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)

[RaphaelDLG]

would it be racist of me to say that maybe the AA numbers will go up because they vote later?

No, unless you add some prejudice in with it.

Don't they also vote earlier in higher quantities, i.e., with absentee ballots at church?  Do exits take into account absentee figures?

[RaphaelDLG]

What happened was between 2008-2016 everyone went on youtube and saw the Jimmy Smits debate video from the West Wing on why liberal isn't a dirty word anymore

[RaphaelDLG]

What happened was between 2008-2016 everyone went on youtube and saw the Jimmy Smits debate video from the West Wing on why liberal isn't a dirty word anymore

That episode is from like 2006.

I knew that; that was sarcasm

[RaphaelDLG]

Based on exits Sandy denied Hill the 15% threshold.  Will be interesting to see

[RaphaelDLG]

Exit poll topline (if my math is right):

GA:
Clinton 65%
Sanders 34%

VA:
Clinton 62%
Sanders 37%

It's so silly how they release these exits sans topline and pretend like they aren't prematurely leaking the result

[RaphaelDLG]

Uh, Clinton is currently leading 95-5 in Buchanan County, VA. This is a 95% white county in Appalachia.

If it's not an error then Sanders should just pack up because it'll be a good night for Clinton.

8-)  Sample size.  The topline is consistent with the expected Clinton margin of victory.

[RaphaelDLG]

162-61 Hillary over Bernie in American Samoa.

That's devastating.  I had had a flicker of hope left, but I think it's time for us BBros to pack it up.

[RaphaelDLG]

The name of the game for Bernie is not to win, because even if he has a good night Hilldog is still the clear frontrunner.  The name of the game is to stay alive until the calendar gets to states without a ton of black folks (who Clinton is murdering him with) and hope he can start doing better.

[RaphaelDLG]

Clinton 7K with 13% Precincts reporting in Mass - Only hope for Sanders is a big share of Western Mass is yet to come.

*Fingers crosses* - Does not look great or as per today's polls

Ok is good

Edit - Clinton leading by 6K now with 15% reporting

You should have more faith in the exit topline than in 15% reporting, even though it's not gospel

[RaphaelDLG]

Sanders needs MA as well as OK.

Again, I dont get the Sanders appeal in OK...do rural whites really like him that much?

I have no idea why he has so much appeal.  I'm guessing Oklahoma thinks Hillary is a criminal and wants a fresh face, I really don't know.

Angry populist who isn't black or Hillary

[RaphaelDLG]

Are MA-Dems and AR-GOP really the only two competitive races left at this point?

VT-GOP

[RaphaelDLG]

An interesting thought that could help explain Oklahoma that someone mentioned on twitter:  Hillary is to the left of Sanders on guns.

[RaphaelDLG]

Clinton is currently up by 218 pledged delegates. IIRC, her goal for tonight was to be up by 100.

She'll beat her goal, but will get significantly less than 218

[RaphaelDLG]

We won't get entrance/exits for CO or MN, will we?

[RaphaelDLG]

Bernie really needs MA. The delegate math was rough enough regardless, but losing there would just be salt in the wound and a knockout blow.

Does not look good for us.  Even if he wins MN and CO, the stories tomorrow about losing MA and getting murdered in delegates will make dumber Sanders supporters give up.