I think it's about right. That scares me a lot, but I'm not going to dismiss it because I don't like the result.
Clinton is stumbling right now.
She needs to demonstrate her skill as a politician with Sanders and his supporters, and cut a deal that strengthens her ticket for the fall and brings them enthusiastically on board so the Dems can focus on TrumpMiller. And speaking of the immature psychopathic fascist dog-whistler, she needs to stop making her main line of attack that his politics are wrong, and swap over to educating the whole nation on just what a terrible human being he is, and what an awful president he'd make. Attacking him on gun rights and similar political staples is just going to help him.
But has she been stumbling though? Nothing has happened in the last month to say she has stumbled. She has said or done nothing controversial on the campaign trail. What we have had is 24/7 coverage of Trump and him securing the nomination. These polls are less about Clinton stumbling and more about Trump coalescing.
Clinton has barely stumbled at all this entire cycle. Especially compared to Trump and Sanders who have made tons of mistakes. Hillary's only real mistakes are "we're going to put lots of coal workers out of a job", "what, with a cloth?", and "I'll do it when all the Republicans do it" as her answer for the Goldman Sachs speeches. She also probably could have handled the minimum wage thing better to make it look less like a lie.
Hillary hasn't made any huge gaffes but she is again running a feckless campaign with no message.
Regardless, she will get a boost after the primary.
