Democratic MI/MS election results thread (first results @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic MI/MS election results thread (first results @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic MI/MS election results thread (first results @8pm ET)  (Read 30161 times)
Shadows
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« on: March 08, 2016, 10:33:22 AM »
MS will be hard, let's see! Should be as bad as LS or maybe worse
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Shadows
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« Reply #1 on: March 08, 2016, 08:53:58 PM »
This is bad as per as MS, Bernie is not having viability (15%). Just cross the 15% please & let this Southern misery be over with!
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« Reply #2 on: March 08, 2016, 09:00:02 PM »
Clinton could win. Sanders maybe sweeping the state but this could be another Mass. He is loosing Detroit although winning the surrounding areas. Most of Detroit has barely reported. Clinton will make maybe 1000's there.

Don't count out Clinton, she could do with Detroit, what she did with Detroit!
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« Reply #3 on: March 08, 2016, 09:02:40 PM »
I am reasonably confident about Wayne & those areas. Based on my ground reports, (Phone-banking & Canvassing), Bernie should do well there.

Detroit worries me honestly, I am not at all confident there based on the last few days reports. Bernie has to keep Hillary there checked so that she does not run away with a huge lead!
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« Reply #4 on: March 08, 2016, 09:05:46 PM »
Sanders leading by 7K now in Michigan & winning throughout the state
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« Reply #5 on: March 08, 2016, 09:07:52 PM »
Sanders @ 15-16% in MS, he may fall below 15% in MS

Sanders up 10K in Michigan now
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« Reply #6 on: March 08, 2016, 09:11:03 PM »
Clinton's gonna make up 9-10K in Detroit alone. Let's go hilldawg!
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« Reply #7 on: March 08, 2016, 09:18:58 PM »
Quote from: əɹɐɯʇɥᵷᴉu uəəɹᵷɹəʌə on March 08, 2016, 09:15:06 PM
no yeah it absolutely makes sense that sanders would do better with the northern urban black vote than with the southern black vote

I think apart from the North-South divide, it depends on issues like NAFTA, etc but it also depends on the time & money. If you put 1000's of people on the ground, campaign for many days, put 1M in Ads, you will get a better result. He still would have lost South but maybe would have won 35% odd with some effort, so campaign efforts also decide the result

Sanders leading by 14K votes now in MI
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« Reply #8 on: March 08, 2016, 09:22:09 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveCanadian on March 08, 2016, 09:06:22 PM
White: Sanders +20%
Non-White: Clinton +23%

I wouldn't be surprised if he is at 40-45% of Black votes or very close to Clinton.

He almost caught up in Detroit & made 1K votes in Detroit (almost level now)
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« Reply #9 on: March 08, 2016, 09:28:59 PM »
Big turnaround, Clinton winning Wayne by 3K votes now! Let's go Hilldawg!
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« Reply #10 on: March 08, 2016, 09:32:54 PM »
Wayne & Detroit have barely reported. Clinton may well win this but she won win big, would be a small victory then. She can make a lot of ground. Let's go hilldawg!
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« Reply #11 on: March 08, 2016, 09:35:57 PM »
Sanders keeping it close @ Wayne too, leading by 18K now!
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« Reply #12 on: March 08, 2016, 09:39:24 PM »
Deskjet maybe right, don't get ahead, Detroit is barely in & Wayne too will report a lot. Sanders may sweep the state but may end up losing like Mass.
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« Reply #13 on: March 08, 2016, 09:41:03 PM »
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on March 08, 2016, 09:37:37 PM
Sanders has a near 20k vote lead now.

Doing the math in my head, if Clinton wins with only 66% of the vote in Wayne, it wont be enough, especially if Sanders does well in the West.

Dude Detroit is barely in, who knows it can give her 15-20K. Let us not jump ahead. This is a very hard battle!
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Shadows
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« Reply #14 on: March 08, 2016, 09:49:04 PM »
Sanders up 21K, safe to say all polls showing 15-20-25% loss are officially junk. Even if he loses, it will be small.

And this looks good for Ohio, maybe he can win there & pull a good result (close) in Illinois, Missouri
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« Reply #15 on: March 08, 2016, 09:51:50 PM »
Clinton leading by more than 5K in Wayne with 30% in. She could do this. Surprisingly Macomb county in/around Detroit has flipped to Sanders.

Sanders is leading by 23-24K odd now!
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« Reply #16 on: March 08, 2016, 10:07:28 PM »
Clinton up 24K in Wayne with 45% of the votes in, this has completely flipped the race, Clinton is gonna pip Bernie now! Wow!

Clinton is GONNA WIN!
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Shadows
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« Reply #17 on: March 08, 2016, 10:22:48 PM »
Sanders up 20K but behind 24K in Wayne with 50% reporting. If Clinton keeps this margin, she is winning this by a small margin.

Sanders has to pull in another 10-15K throughout the state & atleast maintain this at Wayne
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« Reply #18 on: March 08, 2016, 10:25:32 PM »
Sanders upto 40% almost at Wayne, up 21k now. This will be close.

Check Huffington post for results, NY times is horrible!
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Shadows
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« Reply #19 on: March 08, 2016, 10:49:29 PM »
True, out of 2000 odd precincts left, only 700 are in the 3 around Detroit. Ex - Kent has Sanders @ 12K  odd, & Clinton @ 6K odd & has reported only 33%. So those areas could give Sanders another 10K+.

And he is winning throughout the state. If he keeps above 40% in Wayne & around even in Macomb, he has a good chance!


Up 33K with almost half of Wayne still to come, advantage Sanders at this point!
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Shadows
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« Reply #20 on: March 09, 2016, 08:02:22 AM »
Green-papers is showing 69/61 to Bernie in Michigan & 32/4 to Hillary is Mississippi.

Hillary was leading by 193 Delegates before this. She is leading 213 Delegates now not 220 (if the above data is true).
 

When Dem Abroad comes up, it will 215, still pretty huge lead!
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