Interesting note from the latest PPP national poll: Warren’s support in the hypothetical Democratic primary matchup skews even more white and more liberal than Sanders’s support does….but it’s not as skewed towards the young.
In any case, the states where Warren would be favored to do well in the primary (if we actually want to handicap it at this ridiculously early stage) would be the states where the Democratic primary electorate has the highest share of white liberals. Though obviously it depends on who her opponents would be.
Ofcourse she isn't winning anything if Bernie is running & I don't think they both will run. I think it depends on the field, how the moderate vote is getting divided, if it can converge on a Biden.
If you have a Biden it will be very difficult for Warren. For one, she may do well in the North Eastern & west coast like Bernie & she will as bad in the South, but I don't know what she will do in the plains & some conservative areas & in the mid-west
I don't think she has the conservative vote which Bernie swept in ID, UT, KS, NE etc (Look at the PPP Poll, Bernie has the best numbers among a section of conservatives, better than Biden & Warren does worse). And I don't think she will do as good as Bernie in the mid-west in MI, WI, IN, IA.
So this makes it even harder for her to pull a primary win! Warren will surely lose if Biden runs!
