Updated Senate rankings (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 08, 2024, 04:05:45 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Updated Senate rankings (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Updated Senate rankings  (Read 5089 times)
BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« on: May 13, 2016, 10:20:31 AM »

Not going to bother listing safe races.

Likely D: CO
Lean D: IL, WI
Toss-Up: FL, NH, NV, OH,
Lean R: AZ, NC, PA
Likely R: MO, IA, IN

Theoretically, I guess, that means as many as 12 pickups in an absolute landslide. I'd assume six, but not necessarily in the predictable way of carrying the 2 Lean D + 4 Toss-Ups.
Logged
BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2016, 01:36:49 PM »

McGinty has never proved herself to be a good candidate.
Logged
BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #2 on: May 13, 2016, 06:00:51 PM »
« Edited: May 13, 2016, 06:03:15 PM by BuckeyeNut »

What Wulfric said.

I don't really feel confident about Strickland, he doesn't seem to be a good fundraiser and his Gov record seems to be a net negative for him. The Rs will play ads over and over of him of the job losses when he was Gov which was inevitable. I still feel Tim Ryan would've been a better bet here.
Strickland's not the fundraiser Portman is, but it doesn't matter too much. Democrats always get significantly outspent in Ohio. See: Brown in '12. So long as he can keep pace, he'll be okay. And Warren's done a lot of fundraising for him. Biden's done some, as have other bigwigs. He'll be okay.

Strickland's gubernatorial record was actaually fairly good, in hindsight. Tops in job growth in education toward the end. People are also more understanding now that the entire country was hurting, and it wasn't Strickland who crashed the stock market.

Meanwhile, Portman's entire reputation as a moderate is crashing down around him, and his exp. as Trade Represenative is going to hurt this cycle.

Ryan is holding off on a statewide bid so he can run for Governor in 2018.
Logged
BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #3 on: May 13, 2016, 08:55:59 PM »

What's really funny is how no one's talking about Kentucky. I remember late 2015/very early 2016, Roll Call and the rest thought Rand was endangering his Senatorial re-election prospects.

I suppose Jim Gray won't out-perform Mongiardo, but KY sure got safe fast.
Logged
BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #4 on: June 25, 2016, 03:35:34 AM »

Update

1. New Hampshire
2. Wisconsin
3. Illinois
4. Nevada
5. North Carolina
6. Ohio
7. Missouri
8. Florida
9. Pennsylvania
10. Colorado
11. Arizona
12. Iowa
North Carolina before Ohio?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 12 queries.