Democratic Indiana Primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Indiana Primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Indiana Primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)  (Read 27201 times)
Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« on: May 03, 2016, 08:23:44 AM »

Bernie's last stand?
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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Posts: 2,100
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« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2016, 10:31:49 AM »

Apparently youth turnout is pretty high.
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2016, 12:50:23 PM »
« Edited: May 03, 2016, 12:55:33 PM by etr906 »


That's not good for Sanders at all, considering Lake County should be one of Clinton's largest victories within the state.

I'm thinking Bernie can pull out in Allen County, though. Lots of universities there (IPFW, Ivy Tech, St. Francis, Indiana Tech).
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2016, 01:23:35 PM »

Benchmark Politics:
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #4 on: May 03, 2016, 01:56:57 PM »
« Edited: May 03, 2016, 02:00:17 PM by etr906 »

Benchmark Politics:
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True, but look at the rest of the Chicagoland counties.

Cook, IL: Clinton 8%
Lake, IL: Clinton 6.5%
DuPage, IL: Sanders 5%
Will, IL: Sanders 5.5%
Kane County, IL: Sanders 13%
Kenosha County, WI: Sanders 14.5%
Kendall, IL: Sanders 16.5%
Grundy, IL: Sanders 20%
McHenry, IL: Sanders 22%
DeKalb, IL: Sanders 33.5%

Am I saying that Sanders will win Lake County, IL? No, however I think it will be closer than many people are projecting. The Chicagoland area has been one of the better spots for Sanders.

Lake County's demographics match up a lot more with Cook County's demographics than some of those other counties (heavy black, latino pop.), so high turnout doesn't bode well in those areas.

However, I do think the turnout reports out now elsewhere definitely benefit Sanders.
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #5 on: May 03, 2016, 04:04:39 PM »

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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #6 on: May 03, 2016, 04:19:31 PM »

Don't really know what to make of these...
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #7 on: May 03, 2016, 04:20:36 PM »

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Good news for Clinton.
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #8 on: May 03, 2016, 04:25:30 PM »


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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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Posts: 2,100
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« Reply #9 on: May 03, 2016, 04:30:15 PM »

Good portion of these exit polls are pretty favorable for Bernie.
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #10 on: May 03, 2016, 04:33:21 PM »

Income of Dem Voters:
Under $50K: 41%
$50K-$100K: 32%
Over $100K: 27%
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #11 on: May 03, 2016, 04:39:32 PM »

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OOF, sorry Bernie.
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #12 on: May 03, 2016, 04:44:10 PM »

Doesn't mean people won't vote for him. Plenty of Bernie supporters are fine with the idea of a female president. Sorry to shock you.

I guess there's a connotation to the phrase "we're READY for a female president" that paints it hugely in favor of Clinton. But idk.
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #13 on: May 03, 2016, 04:47:22 PM »

What counties' polls close at 7PM ET?
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #14 on: May 03, 2016, 04:53:09 PM »

it should be noted that these exit polls don't include early voting, which could shake things up.
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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Posts: 2,100
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« Reply #15 on: May 03, 2016, 04:58:32 PM »

I have no idea, but no one else that I can see is going with these numbers.  You can't tell me with a straight face these don't look highly questionable to you.

I guess it won't really matter anyways since the real numbers are going to start trickling in in 2 minutes.
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #16 on: May 03, 2016, 05:21:56 PM »

Only a few of these counties have 15-20% of the vote in, so let's not assume this is gonna be a Clinton victory just yet.
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #17 on: May 03, 2016, 05:51:29 PM »

I'm not ready to call the Dem race yet (and it's not like this primary mattered as much on the Dem side anyways), but I think it's time for Cruz and Kasich to drop out.
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #18 on: May 03, 2016, 09:14:17 PM »

Biden would've gotten demolished, just like he did in 1988 and 2008.

Biden would've crushed Hillary, since most people actually like him.
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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Posts: 2,100
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« Reply #19 on: May 03, 2016, 09:18:11 PM »

Well, Sanders did well, not that it changes anything. The primary map is now hideous. I am really interested to see a 2008-2016 trend map of Indiana, though.



MY EYES
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