2016 Congressional Primaries (user search)
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  2016 Congressional Primaries (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2016 Congressional Primaries  (Read 72851 times)
bumpercrop
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« on: May 24, 2016, 06:45:37 PM »

Idiot Southern Democratic primary voters clueless as to who they should be voting for...unsurprising.

Could be going to a runoff....LOLOLOLOL
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bumpercrop
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« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2016, 06:52:32 PM »

Why is Copeland doing relatively well so far? If she's outperforming expectations (especially in the heavily Black Atlanta area), this might go to a runoff.

Copeland is a black last name and it doesn't hurt that she's second alphabetically.

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bumpercrop
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« Reply #2 on: May 24, 2016, 07:42:11 PM »

Fulton County coming in. Barksdale leading Copeland 60%-36% there with 6% in. If this holds, Barksdale will win easily.

Barksdale actually ran ads in the Atlanta media market so that's probably what that's about...
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bumpercrop
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« Reply #3 on: May 24, 2016, 09:24:50 PM »

With 84% in, Crane takes the lead in GA-3 (the presumed frontrunner, he had been down in fourth place behind a some dude early in the count). Currently, the numbers are Crane 27, Ferguson 26, Pace 24, with two to advance to a runoff. Very close.

No incumbent was held under 60, or below a 35-point margin over their nearest challenger. Georgia isn't fertile ground for primary challenges, at least at the moment. Isakson won 77-12-11, but it seems Bacallao (in third place) may have carried Fayette County; it's also possible the AP is in error here.

With 72% in statewide for the Democratic Senate nomination, Barksdale leads Copeland 53-42. Still unclear if Barksdale can pull this off without a runoff; this'll also be a fascinating map to look at.

With 37% in TX-15, Vicente Gonzalez is leading Sonny Palacios 72-28 (!) even though this began as a seemingly very narrow race. Apparently Guadalupe County (presumably Palacios' base, since he only lost there 52-48 even as no other county gave less than 2/3 of the vote to Gonzalez) was the first to count, giving us the illusion of a close race here. Gonzalez should be getting the checkmark any minute now.

A lot of Metro Atlanta isn't in yet. Expect Barksdale's lead to increase slightly.

I will have a map once all counties are at 100%.
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bumpercrop
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Posts: 49


« Reply #4 on: May 24, 2016, 11:58:03 PM »

Looks like Barksdale won thanks to his dominance in the Atlanta media market. He must not have advertised at all in the Chattanooga, Tallahassee, and Jacksonville markets.

This is the preliminary map of counties with 100% in (Barksdale-red, Copland-blue in 5% increments)...Barksdale leads in the three grey counties.



Map of media markets for comparison:

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