FOX5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy GA Poll: HRC 43/Trump 43 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 03:44:57 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  FOX5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy GA Poll: HRC 43/Trump 43 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: FOX5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy GA Poll: HRC 43/Trump 43  (Read 5640 times)
john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

« on: August 18, 2016, 01:07:39 PM »

Very nice poll for Clinton given how white the sample is at 66%.  The exit poll in 2008 had whites at 65% and even in 2014 it was at 64%.  I'd expect something like 62% this year.  

Trump is bleeding too much of the white vote to Johnson; he needs that to come home to win Georgia.
Logged
john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2016, 01:15:09 PM »

Very nice poll for Clinton given how white the sample is at 66%.  The exit poll in 2008 had whites at 65% and even in 2014 it was at 64%.  I'd expect something like 62% this year.  

It was 61.39% in 2012. With the state's continued population growth and Trump pushing non-white voters to the polls, it should be lower. Clinton's team should be conducting voter registration drives, especially in the Atlanta suburbs, and getting them to the polls. If the white vote in Georgia falls below 60%, it won't be a good night for the GOP.

Thanks for that information; I was just going by the network exit polls, which unfortunately we didn't get for Georgia in 2012.  So it should be more like 59-60% this year.  If Trump can't get back a lot of that Johnson vote, he's in big trouble in Georgia.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.017 seconds with 11 queries.