Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide) (user search)
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  Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide)  (Read 19669 times)
Axel Foley
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« on: November 10, 2016, 02:57:39 PM »
« edited: November 10, 2016, 03:07:31 PM by Axel Foley »

With that number of votes to be counted, and given her known advantage in EV, Clinton absolutely could still win Arizona...wonder why CNN called it so early, the only one to do so...

And so, is Wisconsin really closed or am I just delusional?
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Axel Foley
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« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2016, 01:42:23 PM »

Why did the networks call Arizona for Trump with all this votes allegedly to be counted? Isn't a Clinton upset still be possibile?
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Axel Foley
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« Reply #2 on: November 23, 2016, 08:23:02 PM »

What makes me doubtful about Trump victory in Wisconsin is its near 8% decrease in turnout, which is really contrasting to the Nation trend...so it makes me believe at least that a WI recount is really needed...
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Axel Foley
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« Reply #3 on: November 23, 2016, 08:51:48 PM »

Yes, Wisconsin pattern is really strange, and I'm still doubtful about its actual results. Also, the fact that the State doesn't have a statewide count but only a county-level one, complicates more the situation...our site gives Trump a plus 24k lead, Wasserman only a plus 22k one, thegreenpapers 28k circa, and so on...we don't know nothing sure about Wisconsin actual results.
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Axel Foley
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« Reply #4 on: November 24, 2016, 08:16:32 AM »
« Edited: November 24, 2016, 08:29:28 AM by Axel Foley »



Are you arguing that a slight turnout variation (which happened in plenty of places, and often happens between elections) from 2012 indicates that the results may be fraudulent?

No, absolutely not. I only meant that from my point of view( meaningless, I know) WI should be put on the too close too call list along with MI. We have to wait for certified results and maybe for the Stein-seeked recount.
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Axel Foley
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Posts: 127


« Reply #5 on: December 07, 2016, 06:36:53 PM »

So, more ballots still left to be counted in PA than in CA? Wow, sounds interesting...
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Axel Foley
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Posts: 127


« Reply #6 on: December 13, 2016, 06:09:57 PM »

Based on the current data coming in we have
 
Clinton        65.76 million     48.29%
Trump         62.92 million     46.20%

and then extrapolating based on current vote shares in each state and estimated votes outstanding we currently have

Clinton        65.79 million     48.28%
Trump         62.96 million     46.21%

For a Clinton lead of 2.07%.

Outstanding votes are will be from MS NC SD WV and maybe some more from IN and PA.  I doubt there are any more from NY or CA.  Most likely at most 70K left.  If so I guess Trump will not make it to 63 million votes and Clinton will miss Obama's 2012 total vote by a bunch.

How many votes do you expect are still to be counted in Pennsylvania? Enough to down Trump MOV to 0.5 or less?
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