OneJ
OneJ_
YaBB God
Posts: 4,833
|
|
« on: September 24, 2016, 10:21:22 PM » |
|
Sanders probably won't do much better, maybe worse, than Hillary in my opinion.
First of all, I have trouble with understanding how he could possibly win Alaska. Can anyone explain that to me?
Second of all, the word "socialist" would not play very well. Republicans will scrutinize him to death with this. They'll possibly tie the word "socialist" with "communist". Since far too many young voters can't tell the difference between (GOP conspiracy theories and truths about Hillary), they might develop some skepticism of backing Bernie and will still consider the attention grabber Stein.
Next, he'll likely do worse in the south than our good friend Hillary. Republicans will viciously attack him. Black voters, who mostly supported Hillary and prefer someone closer to Obama's policies, are likely to become less inspired to vote. Turnout could likely be lower.
Then, take a look at the battleground states. IA would probably trend R anyway due to Trump. OH may also do so for the same reason because Trump is like a Viagra pill for the poorly educated (whites). NC is hard to say because the bathroom bill is currently affecting the state, but think about it turning to Bernie. Michigan really isn't competitive, neither is Minnesota nor Nevada. The battleground states of Georgia and Arizona would be out of reach. Florida could go either way. Some Minorities may not feel inspired (in spite of Trump).
That's my take on it.
|