Electoral Calculus's results on if the local election results were replicated in the general election.
I understand that the local elections are a rough gauge of the national vote, and that EC is not fully reliable either. However, if the polling is ignored and the fundamentals of the race are what the predictions are based on, the results would probably look something like this. This is a Tory majority of 118 seats.
Perhaps campaigns have an impact on the margins but it'd have to have one hell of an impact to make up that difference. And given what happened to Cleggmania and Milifandom the Corbyn surge will probably be just another nothing burger. .
