New poll hype thread (user search)
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  New poll hype thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: New poll hype thread  (Read 94885 times)
PresidentSamTilden
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« on: August 30, 2016, 10:08:51 AM »
Quote from: MohamedChalid on August 30, 2016, 09:11:27 AM
My predictions: Clinton +8 and McGinty +1
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2016, 08:39:52 AM »
PA: C+5
NC: T+2
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2016, 08:40:37 AM »
Quote from: LittleBigOctopus on September 03, 2016, 08:32:46 AM
Pa, C+6
NC, C+2

Quote from: heatcharger on September 03, 2016, 08:24:41 AM
Those multiple state samples are so useless I don't know why they do them.
Agree!

All that talking about the polls and you still think C is up in NC?
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #3 on: September 03, 2016, 10:29:18 AM »
Quote from: LittleBigOctopus on September 03, 2016, 08:52:29 AM
Quote from: PresidentSamTilden on September 03, 2016, 08:40:37 AM
Quote from: LittleBigOctopus on September 03, 2016, 08:32:46 AM
Pa, C+6
NC, C+2

Quote from: heatcharger on September 03, 2016, 08:24:41 AM
Those multiple state samples are so useless I don't know why they do them.
Agree!

All that talking about the polls and you still think C is up in NC?
It is always better to be 2% too pessimistic Smiley

Further, I was talking about trends. Hillary was +5-6 for a month ago (+9 in A+ Marist).

Well I hear you on the pessimism, lol...We'll see how it plays out tomorrow
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2016, 12:24:12 PM »
MO- Trump by a lot
VA - Clinton +6
CO - Clinton +3
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2016, 06:37:03 PM »
Kinda surprised to see how snarky the PPP twitter is, lol.

NC: Even
CO: C+4
FL: Even
PA: C+6
V: C+7
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2016, 10:21:42 AM »
WI: C+5
OH: C+2
PA: C+7
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2016, 10:22:29 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 08, 2016, 10:21:08 AM
YouGov has shown abnormally high Hillary margins in OH before, so if they are using the same panel, I'd expect something like Hillary+10.

As for PA and WI:

PA: C+9
WI: C+9

Do they normally use the same voters for each state poll?
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #8 on: October 09, 2016, 07:43:33 AM »
PA C + 6 , Mcginty +1
FL C + 2, Rubio +4
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #9 on: October 16, 2016, 08:24:04 PM »
marist +10
MM + 5
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2016, 04:59:15 PM »
Trump +4. I would love a tie or Clinton lead, but I just can't see it happening
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2016, 12:22:50 PM »
Yougov, FL: Clinton +4 Cool
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2016, 08:46:58 AM »
Quote from: dspNY on October 29, 2016, 08:10:03 AM
CBS/YouGov will have battleground polls from PA, CO, NC and AZ tomorrow on Face the Nation

Do you know the usual date range for these polls? Will they cover the email news, or were they conducted prior?
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #13 on: October 29, 2016, 10:02:46 AM »
In that case,

PA: C+6
CO: C+4
AZ: T+2
NC: C+2
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2016, 02:25:19 PM »
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507
« Reply #15 on: November 06, 2016, 09:39:24 AM »
Quote from: heatcharger on November 06, 2016, 08:08:50 AM
Final NBC/WSJ national poll coming within the hour. I'll guess:

Clinton 50
Trump 45

Clinton 48
Trump 44
Johnson 4
Stein 1

Nailed the margins, nice job
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