Last minute expand map megathread - Spending & visits in AZ, GA, WI, NM, MI, MN

[Erich Maria Remarque]

That's because Trump is the most energetic, healthiest person ever to run for President, while Hillary Clinton doesn't have any stamina, and has to nap all weekend to recover from her low-energy femininity.

Best words!

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Having popular surrogates like Bill, Joe Biden, Tim Kaine, and President Obama on her side--

you forgot the force of political nature that is michelle right now.

But the fact that Hillary needs all this means that

a) Trump is THAT good.
b) Clinton is THAT bad.
c) both

Irony

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Clinton is dumping six figure ad buys in: Michigan, New Mexico, Virginia and Colorado.
https://mobile.twitter.com/Phil_Mattingly/status/793524482451337216

It's happening!

You expect her to leave those states undefended in the final stretch when she has more than enough resources to do so while working on others?

When his candidate has essentially been losing the entire election cycle, it's not surprising that he would immediately latch onto the most beneficial, pro-Trump reasoning he can derive from it while labeling any other reasons as "spin."

It's a week from election day. He needs to believe she is panicking over likely/safe states. He needs it bad. Let's just let him have this one.

Actually, [some] of those states might be a tipping point if the race will have tighten a bit according to *538's model. I wouldn't call it panicking, of course. It is though not like she do it, because she can, but because she has to [possible tightening is not that unlikely].

* Never mind, if you think Nate is clickbait/looser etc.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-yes-donald-trump-has-a-path-to-victory/

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Hillary Clinton's 'doomsday' strategy against Donald Trump: Hold the blue states 4:28 — nbcnews.com

[Erich Maria Remarque]

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[Erich Maria Remarque]

Clinton's campaign is much more focused (because it can afford to be). They know that if they win PA, WI, and FL or NC, it's 100% over. I like her strategy a lot. I actually like Trump's too, considering the position they're in. I prefer the "blitz a very specific 270", but I respect his "take a shot at a few options" plan. It's more common than my preference.

At least we can rull out this magic internals bulls**t. It is pretty clear now that Dems internals show about the same picture as public polls.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Since last night Trump has added rallies in MN, MI and PA and Pence added one in MI. The WI Trump rally is still on the Sunday schedule. Right now he has five rallies booked in five states (IA, MN, WI, MI, PA) in the span of nine hours on Sunday.  

Last night Chuck Todd said that the travel schedules showed what's going on inside the campaigns. For Clinton the specific cities she is targeting shows the campaign's concern over the African American vote and they are singularly focused on that. For Trump, he compared it to Dole 1996 with no clear path to 270 and just trying everything. He also used the 'spaghetti against the wall' metaphor.

http://www.msnbc.com/brian-williams/watch/chuck-todd-campaigns-are-not-fighting-over-a-single-voter-801641539710

I think Trump's strategy is pretty reasonable. According to 538's Clinton's margin is about the same in the following states
NM +5.4% (but here we have almost no polling + polls probably miss hispanics)
MN +4.9%
VA  +4.9%
WI  +4.2%
MI  +3.8%
PA  +3.5%
CO  +3.3%
NH  +2.0%

They all are also has more or less Trump'ish demographics.

I think Trump just hopes that polling error occurs somewhere (it was BTW my theory all along). But he doesn't know where (no one does), so he is just trying all of them.

So  'spaghetti against the wall' is not just reasonable description, but it is also is reasonable strategy in Trump's case.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Yeah, all these TRUMP INTERNALS match the random garbage polls that are coming out.  That crappy poll in Virginia came out showing him up 3, and then later than night it was reported that his "internals" showed him surging there.  Those garbage New Mexico polls come out, and suddenly his "internals" show New Mexico as in play. He just sees these things on TV or on twitter and bases his strategy on that.

Trump has the best internals. His internals are he himself!

http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-gop-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/03/trump-foreign-policy-adviser-220853

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