Boris
boris78
Junior Chimp
Posts: 7,098
Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -4.52
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« on: March 31, 2009, 04:28:55 PM » |
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« edited: March 31, 2009, 04:30:46 PM by Boris »
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If Obama's approval rating was higher than 65%, he would win all fifty states. He would probably lose somewhere between 1-10 states if his approval ratings are in the high 50s. Exception might be Clinton in 1996 but that election is somewhat skewered because of Ross Perot, no one really caring, and Clinton's personal favorability being much lower than his job approval.
And likewise, if Obama's approval rating was below 40-45%, he would have a tough time getting renominated as well as winning any state except DC.
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