AndyHogan14
Jr. Member
Posts: 982
Political Matrix E: -4.00, S: -6.61
|
|
« on: January 29, 2017, 08:52:58 PM » |
|
The 2018 referendum actually isn't for independence, it's to make it theoretically legal under state law. The California constitution currently says "The State of California is an inseparable part of the United States of America, and the United States Constitution is the supreme law of the land." The theoretical 2018 ballot proposition would strike that language from the state constitution and authorize an actual independence vote in 2019.
Even if someone doesn't want California to become independent, I would hope that they would still vote yes on the 2018 proposition because it may give us some leverage to help reform the federal government. I think a national popular vote amendment and congressional districts drawn by independent committees nationwide would be enough to kill any talk of secession. If the US government digs its heels in and tells CA to go f*** itself (possible with Trump as president), I'd give the 2019 initiative a better than 50% chance of passing.
If California actually votes for independence (both 2018 AND 2019), then it would be a rather insane turn of events and I would assume that both would get together and include California in the Compact of Free Association. CA would be a sovereign state politically, but we would remain one economically. If California were to leave economically as well, it would make Brexit look like child's play and both the CA and US economies would be in big trouble.
|