What are Hogan's chances to be re-elected?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

A Republican running for statewide office in Maryland is never the frontrunner.  The GOP brand is toxic in the DC area right now.  I don't think he gets re-elected.

And Democratic brand is toxic outside of DC area and Baltimore city. What will prevail?

I'm not sure what your point is, the vast majority of the population lives in those two areas + baltimore's broader county (where GOP is toxic as well).

For Republicans to win statewide they need to cut DEEP into democratic support in those counties, particularly Montgomery... good luck with that.

Explained above. Baltimore county is NOT as Democratic as city, and neighbouring suburbs are extremely conservative. Yes, Hogan needs to minimize losses in Democratic areas, but until recently (his comments on Trump immigration order) he successfully did exactly that. Now - not so sure, but he surely remains relatively popular and i wouldn't write him off right now. It seems most Democratic potential candidates are not eager to take on him as well....

This isn't even close to being true.  Baltimore suburbs aren't even conservative much less "extremely conservative."  Maybe parts of Anne Arundel are somewhat white working class, but they're offset by a large black population.  Not to mention, I believe that county even voted in favor of gay marriage several years ago, as well as most of the close in Baltimore suburbs.  I do not consider counties that voted for gay marriage to be "extremely conservative" - where are you getting this nonsense from?  

Nonsense? Ann Arundel frequently voted (and votes) for conservative Republicans in legislature (including some much more conservative then Hogan)  and in not so distant past - for relatively conservative Democrats too. And for Hogan, of course, by big margin (66% in 2014). And in "suburbs" i include not only close suburbs of Baltimore county itself (well, let's say i slightly exaggerated their conservatism, but not by too much), which voting behavoir is described above in details,  but exurbs of Carroll and Harford counries too. You will say they are not extremely conservative too (63 and 58% even for Trump, and astronomical 82 and 76 - for Hogan)? Are you not too naughty, BTW?? And who gave you the right to speak to me in such patronizing tone, especially when you make more factual errors then even i (from abroad and purely Internet-based at present)?

P.S. General conclusion: a partisan hacks are not worthy to be source of impartial analysis and detailed voter behavoir. They are too blindsided for that. And present a picture, which they would like to be a reality, but which has nothing in common with reality itself.

K

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

This board is an incredible place.  You can be lectured by someone who's probably never even been in this country about a county you've LIVED IN.  I see some Russians are still spreading fake news even after the election. 

Spoiler to the rest of this board - Baltimore County is not "extremely conservative."  I've lived there briefly.  It's not even close to being conservative.  Nor is Anne Arundel all that conservative.  Indeed, both counties have voted in favor of legalizing gay marriage, expanding gambling, and for illegal immigrant rights.

Fake news is not news.  Alternative facts are not facts.

Funny. And idiotic. I lived part of my life in US and continue to have relatives and friends there, while you REALLY know nothing (and don't want to know) anything about Russia, besides what mass media says. My best friend is Duke professor, my cousin in Indiana is an associate professor, and my nephew got MBA from UT and now is a financial analyst in San Diego. You are an idiot, Non Swing Voter, who sees nothing behind end of his nose, who sees ONLY a facts he wants to see and ignores reality. As i already said - an idiots like you, who were prominent in Clinton's campaign cost her election, so you are loser to boot, who will lose time after time anywhere outside of "safe havens". Live with it, lose again, blame Russians, because you can't be wrong and make me laugh at those like you time and again.

K

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

^ Yours? Much more then that, Mr. Idiot. You brilliantly confirmed everything i thought about people like you before.

Sick burn