How far must Trump slide to tie/lose the White vote? (user search)
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  How far must Trump slide to tie/lose the White vote? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How far must Trump slide to tie/lose the White vote?  (Read 396 times)
cMac36
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Posts: 174
« on: August 04, 2016, 12:35:14 PM »
Romney won white voters 59-39 in 2012.

We have seen a pattern so far where Trump overperforms Mitt w/non-college educated whites and underperforms w/college educated whites.   (Mitt won the former group 63-36 and the latter 53-44)

It's gonna be hard.  Even recent FOX poll showing Clinton up by 10 shows Trump/Pence up 10 with Whites.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/08/03/fox-news-poll-aug-3-2016/


So the answer is, Trump has to lose the election by about 15 points not to win Whites.
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cMac36
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Posts: 174
« Reply #1 on: August 04, 2016, 05:34:05 PM »
Quote from: cMac36 on August 04, 2016, 12:35:14 PM
So the answer is, Trump has to lose the election by about 15 points not to win Whites.

Looks like I was right.  The McClatchy-Marist poll that shows Clinton up 15 has her effectively tied with Whites.  Trump 41 Clinton 39
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