Gallup Trump & Clinton favorability numbers megathread (user search)
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  Gallup Trump & Clinton favorability numbers megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Gallup Trump & Clinton favorability numbers megathread  (Read 4234 times)
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« on: September 16, 2016, 03:58:55 PM »

No wonder why LittleBigwhatever hasnt been updating this thread.
yeah... these are mid-August levels, and no convention bump to explain it. Trump's momentum has been dashed again
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2016, 04:28:28 PM »

Look at the Gallup favorables graph and transpose it onto either the RCP average or Pollster and you'll see the leading indicator from Gallup
Lol, of course, they are correlated, but you said it is the best indicator. Look at LA Times and 538/RCP average, and you'll see it is a good indicator as well. All the polls are correlated — surprice, surprice! But all the polls have noice as well.
So a trend over 2/3 days which point towards Clinton? While Reuters (junky as it is on its own) corroborates? That's noise? ok then whatever you say
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2016, 04:36:25 PM »

Also, Gallup's sample sizes are 5 times that.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2016, 04:38:59 PM »

Also, Gallup's sample sizes are 5 times that.
Didn't know that. There is nothing about sample size on their page.
Here you go:
Quote
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http://www.gallup.com/poll/101872/faqs.aspx#!mn-us
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