You do know that all those Indy's are not going to break for Trump, don't you?
Trump has to win Indys by 20 points to make up for the early vote deficit. There is no evidence that this is happening. A single outlier CNN poll doesn't prove they are
Well if it's a 10 point lead 55-45, that puts the current lead at less than 2.
I should add Ralston was at the DNC.
You are confusing partisanship with competence. Ralston *may* be wrong but there is no historical indication that he is. Trump has a very poor ground game and Nevada is a notoriously hard state to poll given its high casino worker population who work irregular shifts.