Who has a more than 5% chance of being the 2020 Dem. nominee? (user search)
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Who has a more than 5% chance of being the 2020 Dem. nominee? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which of these people have a more than 5% chance of being the 2020 Dem. nominee for president?
#1
Joe Biden
 
#2
Cory Booker
 
#3
Sherrod Brown
 
#4
Steve Bullock
 
#5
Julian Castro
 
#6
Hillary Clinton
 
#7
Mark Cuban
 
#8
Andrew Cuomo
 
#9
Bill de Blasio
 
#10
John Delaney
 
#11
Al Franken
 
#12
Tulsi Gabbard
 
#13
Eric Garcetti
 
#14
Kirsten Gillibrand
 
#15
Kamala Harris
 
#16
John Hickenlooper
 
#17
Bob Iger
 
#18
Jason Kander
 
#19
Amy Klobuchar
 
#20
Terry McAuliffe
 
#21
Jeff Merkley
 
#22
Seth Moulton
 
#23
Chris Murphy
 
#24
Gavin Newsom
 
#25
Martin O’Malley
 
#26
Deval Patrick
 
#27
Tim Ryan
 
#28
Bernie Sanders
 
#29
Howard Schultz
 
#30
Elizabeth Warren
 
#31
Ron Wyden
 
#32
Mark Zuckerberg
 
#33
none of them have a 5% chance
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 55

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Author Topic: Who has a more than 5% chance of being the 2020 Dem. nominee?  (Read 787 times)
America Needs R'hllor
Parrotguy
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*****
Posts: 11,445
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -3.48

« on: September 02, 2017, 05:23:58 PM »

Biden, Booker, Gillibrand, Harris, Warren, Sanders
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America Needs R'hllor
Parrotguy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,445
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -3.48

« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2017, 05:28:54 PM »

Biden, Booker, Bullock, Clinton, Franken, Gillibrand, Harris, McAuliffe, Sanders, Warren.

Didn't you fervently oppose any attempt to frame Bullock as a potential nominee?
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America Needs R'hllor
Parrotguy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,445
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -3.48

« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2017, 06:07:30 PM »

I've listed each candidate's odds of becoming the nominee, in my opinion, as well as a scale of 1 to 10 rating of how I would personally feel about them becoming the nominee. Had a hard time formatting tables on this site, so I'm embedding it as an image.

Very interested to hear who people think I'm over/underestimating. But if you include one, please include the other, since it's a zero-sum game.




I think you're definitely underestimating Warren and Biden, and overestimating Booker and Gillibrand. Also, waay overestimating Patrick and Cuomo, their chances are very low imho.
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