turnout reports, voting problems, and last minute dirty tricks

[Tintrlvr]

Would be pretty surprising if there weren't a lot more votes cast in Orange County than in 2012 considering its rapid population growth, but the growth in votes does seem to be considerably outpacing population growth there (and considerably more so in SE Florida, where growth is relatively slow in places like Broward that are mostly built out but where turnout is also above 2012 levels already).

I believe only Broward County and Hillsborough County are updating vote totals live. So far Broward running somewhat further ahead of 2012 than Hillsborough, though both have already broken the 2012 total.

Broward current total votes: 786,297
Broward 2012 total votes: 757,354
+28,943, or +3.82% over 2012

Hillsborough current total votes: 558,185
Hillsborough 2012 total votes: 543,429
+14,756, or +2.72% over 2012

FWIW, Broward's population is estimated to have grown 8.5% between 2010 and 2015 (obviously not a perfect comparison for 2012-2016 changes but some guidance), while Hillsborough's population is estimated to have grown 9.7% over the same period. So Broward, a strong Democratic county, is well outperforming Hillsborough, a swing county that is slightly more Democratic than Florida as a whole. That seems like very good news for Clinton, though it would obviously be most helpful if we also had a strong Republican county to compare.

[Tintrlvr]

Is there any estimation of turnout? Gallup told us it would be lower than 12' ...

Clearly wrong in Florida and more generally across most of the states that are heavy on early vote. Harder to say in the Midwest and Northeast states in particular because more voting will happen day-of there, and we don't get much in the way of live updates of who has voted during the day. It's still possible turnout is down overall even if it is up in some key states, but I would guess overall higher turnout than 2012 at this point, though not by a huge margin (and not at 2008 levels).

[Tintrlvr]

Democrats inching up in Broward and Hillsborough in Florida relative to the Republicans as later voters come in. Republican edge for on-the-day voters is down to +3,200 in Hillsborough (peaked around +4,000 at noon, had been steady around +3,600 since around 1 with nearly all the drop from +3,600 happening since 3:30 or so), and Republicans have now fallen behind Other in Broward (were ahead of Other for the whole day until now).