GlobeSoc
The walrus
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,980
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« on: January 28, 2017, 09:16:05 PM » |
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If this was under a Hillary presidency, I would agree.
North Dakota and maybe Indiana are the only ones of the competitive seats that I have any genuine pessimism about, and even there I think a Dem win is possible.
In particular, you are assuming worst case scenario in every case for the Democrats.
Flake being successfully primaried is a real possibility, Ann Wagner might get shot down by Trump, his allies, or an opportunist tying themselves to Trump, Tester is a good fit for his state and Montana likes downballot dems for some reason, etc.
And there's the big one, what the midterm electorate looks like in the first non-dem midterm in 12 years.
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