2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread (user search)
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  2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread  (Read 234678 times)
YE
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Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« on: November 22, 2017, 03:04:57 PM »
Honestly what Barton is doing isn't resign worthy. What Franken and Conyers has done is.
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YE
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #1 on: December 17, 2017, 03:16:59 PM »
Dems outraised the GOP throughout the 2000's? What?
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YE
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #2 on: December 18, 2017, 03:15:40 PM »
« Edited: December 18, 2017, 03:31:48 PM by Brittain33 »

That's not a bad poll for someone with low name ID.
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YE
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #3 on: December 20, 2017, 04:49:09 PM »
Quote from: Generalissimo Mondale on December 20, 2017, 04:06:31 PM
Not sure if this should go here but seems relevant:

Quote
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So basically a net wash for both parties in terms of redistricting?
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YE
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #4 on: January 03, 2018, 10:14:35 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on January 03, 2018, 07:39:39 PM
Yougov has D+6, down from D+8. That's not good enough to win the house.

May be just noise, but it's something to keep an eye on.
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YE
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #5 on: January 10, 2018, 07:06:50 PM »

Calling it now. Rohrabacher will retire.
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YE
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #6 on: January 13, 2018, 07:33:28 PM »
Quote from: Emily’s List on January 13, 2018, 07:30:21 PM
Quote from: Kamala, FM on January 13, 2018, 06:27:59 PM
I would actually have thought that some older D senators would’ve retired this year, such as Carper, Cardin, Hirono,  and Feinstein, since it would be guaranteed that their seats would be won by Democrats in such a D-leaning year. Then the next election cycle, which we don’t know how it will Lean, they would be held by incumbents and be less vulnerable than an open seat situation.

I’m not surprised though, since politicians are entirely self-interested creatures. They wouldn’t do something for the party if it requires them to sacrifice something.

Hirono is only 70, she has another few terms left in her, especially being from Hawaii.

Doesn't she have end stage cancer? Sad
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YE
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #7 on: January 13, 2018, 07:41:58 PM »
Quote from: Emily’s List on January 13, 2018, 07:37:21 PM
Quote from: YE on January 13, 2018, 07:33:28 PM
Quote from: Emily’s List on January 13, 2018, 07:30:21 PM
Quote from: Kamala, FM on January 13, 2018, 06:27:59 PM
I would actually have thought that some older D senators would’ve retired this year, such as Carper, Cardin, Hirono,  and Feinstein, since it would be guaranteed that their seats would be won by Democrats in such a D-leaning year. Then the next election cycle, which we don’t know how it will Lean, they would be held by incumbents and be less vulnerable than an open seat situation.

I’m not surprised though, since politicians are entirely self-interested creatures. They wouldn’t do something for the party if it requires them to sacrifice something.

Hirono is only 70, she has another few terms left in her, especially being from Hawaii.

Doesn't she have end stage cancer? Sad

She has late-stage kidney cancer, but she's had treatment and the prognosis is good.

Ok that's great to hear!
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YE
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #8 on: January 14, 2018, 11:05:19 PM »
Quote from: King Lear on January 14, 2018, 11:03:50 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on January 12, 2018, 02:55:48 PM
Emerson, Jan 8-11, 600 RV

D 45
R 40

The last one of theirs I can find with generic ballot is from Feb, and was R 48, D 46.
Those numbers are rally bad for Democrats, they can’t flip the house with a 5 point lead.

Emerson is a landline only pollster.
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YE
Modadmin
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #9 on: January 24, 2018, 08:23:38 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on January 24, 2018, 08:20:37 PM
Quote from: Cactus Jack on January 24, 2018, 07:25:53 PM
People seriously underestimate how much of an issue Kirkpatrick's carpetbagging really is. She has no appeal at all in Tucson and surrounding AZ-02, which is a wildly different district from AZ-01. Matiella is a local and she's a veteran, two things that the district should just love, on top of having a proven record of government service.

Sorry but I can't trust you. You are the same guys who sat out and grumbled about how Northam will lose because he was too conservative and not exciting enough for the base.
For all I know Kirkpatrick's carpetbagging is a thing only among Sandernistas and Justice Democrats.

Didn't he predict Northam to actually win comfortably?
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YE
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #10 on: January 31, 2018, 02:17:41 PM »
Quote from: Generalissimo Mondale on January 31, 2018, 02:12:14 PM
With Trey Goudy (R-Ben Ghazi) gone, GOP breaks it's all time record of number of open seats



Records didn't begin in 2006.
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YE
Modadmin
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #11 on: February 04, 2018, 01:58:58 AM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on February 03, 2018, 08:24:22 PM
I love Randy Bryce and his campaign, but I am starting to cringe as it is starting to get nationalized, and coastal elites and their cash are flocking in. Same went for Jones and is going for Lamb. And it is not necessarily their fault, a lot of it is shoved down their throat, and it is hard to say no. But at some point, good grief, you have to repel the Ellen's and Chelsea Handler's and the Daily Kos, and Samantha Bee, man I got keep the list going on and on, and say thanks, but no thanks. I am a man/woman of my state and district, and we are going to keep it local and about our people, this is our race, please stay out. This stupid nationalization screws us over so bad, just keep the money flowing, but just can it and do it as silently as possible, like in SC and KS earlier, except more $ obviously.
On substance, I don't really disagree with you, but Jones and Lamb's races haven't/weren't really nationalized - Jones mostly kept his mouth shut and only got outside attention due to Roy Moore more than anything else. Also, any race with the House Speaker involved is going to be nationalized which plays to the GOP's hands (one of the reasons why I think a some guy dude like Randy Bryce isn't a good candidate for this race; it'd be easier for a local politician to try to de-nationalize the race as much as possible IMO. It's also really odd that the Dem establishment is willing to let a Berniecrat make the GE in a WOW county suburban Wisconsin seat of all seats yet other Berniecrats in likely somewhat friendlier territory are facing crowded primaries).
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YE
Modadmin
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #12 on: February 04, 2018, 04:46:52 PM »
Quote from: DemocraticKing on February 04, 2018, 04:41:29 PM
I saw Randy Bryce commercials while watching MSNBC, in New York....

Guess someone is running a sh**tty campaign.
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YE
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #13 on: February 17, 2018, 12:20:35 AM »

That doesn't seem like the right candidate.
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YE
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #14 on: February 24, 2018, 03:06:08 PM »
Can we actually get a politician for once in a district like GA-06?
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YE
Modadmin
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Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #15 on: March 05, 2018, 02:30:37 PM »
Quote from: Virginia on March 05, 2018, 02:26:26 PM

I wonder if Angle could open this seat up for Democrats. NV-02 isn't an impossible district. At 53 - 44 Romney and 52 - 39 Trump, it seems doable with a controversial candidate that has no incumbency advantage.

It voted for Obama in 2008 (although Obama's 2008 numbers are inflated statewide since NV was disproportionately hit by the housing crash) and northern Nevada is very swingy, so not impossible. But Angle hasn't really gone anywhere in her runs for office since 2010, so I don't think she'll win the primary. I'd rate is as Likely R
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YE
Modadmin
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*****
Posts: 15,939


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #16 on: March 08, 2018, 01:49:47 PM »
I want one of the AZ Berniecrats to go for McCain’s seat but they might be to the left of the state 
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