WaPo is saying it's likely a redraw will be forced before the midterms. A redraw under strict Fair Districts would at a minimum means the Castor seat doesn't touch Pinellas. FL-13 becomes a lot more Democratic, Dems could pickup 4.
If
this is the article to which you refer, I think your use of the term "likely" may be an overstatement. I find the emphasis on intent rather than results itself problematical. Either the lines followed the law, or they did not. I find it odd that all of this is coming to a head at this late date in any event. Were not these issues hashed out previously?