I'm sure running as Trump 2.0 will go over great in an anti-Trump midterm!
>Assuming a national level dissatisfaction with trump will have a major effect on a state trump won by 9 points.
>calling Josh Mandel Trump 2.0
I take so many qualms with your 'analysis'
I don't understand why you (and quite a few other people on the forum) think the prospect of the midterms going against Trump to be just a coin flip. Short of a massive terrorist attack or very poor leadership, a President's party is bound to lose seats in Congress in a midterm year. This is even more likely for Trump, since he's starting out his term with barely favorable numbers. Clinton also would have probably faced a poor midterm (another "wipeout" in the senate was my worst fear as a Democrat before Nov.
If there is a solid foreign policy win or economic gains around Oct. 2018 then of course the midterm could be a wash. But everyone Trump has done so far/everyone he is surrounding himself with suggest that probably won't be the case. So I think it is best to assume Trump will have a mildly bad midterm for now, based on previous precedent and the state of Trump's approval.
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