MD Sen Democratic primary: Who wins?

[LabourJersey]

At this point I think Trone.

Alsobrooks waited way too late to energize her campaign and enlist the Maryland Dem establishment to help her.

Not a fan of Trone but it feels the money and his early ground game will be decisive.

[LabourJersey]

It's basically a toss up but I have been unimpressed with Trone so far.. Alsobrooks may have slight edge if forced to choose, Race Polarization could be significant in the Democratic primary.

I never imaged I say this but Alsobrooks is not a shoe-in to beat Hogan if she makes that far.  She probably wins anyway due to it being a pres year but man these are bad candidates when you compare to Gallego or the California field..

Democrats wouldn't have had to bring their A-game in this race against anyone but Hogan, but he didn't announce until the day of the filing deadline and until then, there was zero indication that he was going to run.

Yes, the Hogan announcement scrambled the race.

If you told someone a year ago that the Maryland senate race would be more competitive than the Virginia race, they wouldn't have believed you. Now you have Hogan looking competitive for now, and absolutely no one thinks Virginia is competitive.

[LabourJersey]

It's basically a toss up but I have been unimpressed with Trone so far.. Alsobrooks may have slight edge if forced to choose, Race Polarization could be significant in the Democratic primary.

I never imaged I say this but Alsobrooks is not a shoe-in to beat Hogan if she makes that far.  She probably wins anyway due to it being a pres year but man these are bad candidates when you compare to Gallego or the California field..

Democrats wouldn't have had to bring their A-game in this race against anyone but Hogan, but he didn't announce until the day of the filing deadline and until then, there was zero indication that he was going to run.

Yes, the Hogan announcement scrambled the race.

If you told someone a year ago that the Maryland senate race would be more competitive than the Virginia race, they wouldn't have believed you. Now you have Hogan looking competitive for now, and absolutely no one thinks Virginia is competitive.

Relatively competitive. Virginia is just a wee bit darker a shade of safe blue.

That is fair, but it's remarkable how little activity we see in VA compared to MD, given how different they are politically.