Predictions for the 2028 Democratic primary field?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

My prediction (almost entirely vibes-driven)

Going to run -
Kamala Harris
Gavin Newsom
Pete Buttigieg
Josh Shapiro
Gretchen Whitmer
J.B. Pritzker
Wes Moore

Tossup (50/50 chance they run) -
Andy Beshear
Tim Walz
Raphael Warnock
Cory Booker
Ro Khanna
John Fetterman

Unlikely (but could still run) -
Amy Klobuchar
Elizabeth Warren
Tony Evers
Jared Polis
Maura Healey
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortes
Tony Blinken
Jon Ossoff
Eric Adams
Katie Hobbs
Mark Kelly
Roy Cooper
Chris Murphy
Adam Schiff
Gina Raimondo

Not Running -
Hillary Clinton
Michelle Obama
Bernie Sanders
Hakeem Jeffries

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Roy Cooper should be on the list somewhere - probably 50/50 at best (old white male lane is pretty crowded), but a possibility.

I almost put him up there, but he's going to be out of office for more two years by the time the '28 cycle heats up. I can imagine him passing on a run because of that reason. It's going to be hard to stay relevant.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

What do we think about Andy Kim? It's looking increasingly likely that he's going to beat the New Jersey machine and become the state's next senator. Such a win could catapult him into the national conversation.

He's like the New Jersey version of Ruben Gallego.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

What do we think about Andy Kim? It's looking increasingly likely that he's going to beat the New Jersey machine and become the state's next senator. Such a win could catapult him into the national conversation.

He's like the New Jersey version of Ruben Gallego.

Bumping, in light of recent events.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

If they are successful in their Senate and Gubernatorial bids, I can see Elissa Slotkin, Abigail Spanberger, and Mikie Sherill entering the conversation as well.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Why is everyone so sure Harris will run? I think she would realize how unpopular she is and just retire. She’s older than she looks—will be 64 by e day 2028—so there’s no shame in stepping out of the public eye.

If Biden wins this year: If Harris runs she will start as the frontrunner, but would probably still lose the primary and the general if she gets there. If she's the incumbent by that point, then she'll win the primary. I'm going to assume she won't run though. Whitmer and Newsom are the clear favorites at this point (I honestly think I'd vote for Newsom in this lol). Wes Moore and Andy Beshear would do well if they run. Warnock and Roy Cooper would be hyped early but fizzle out.

If Biden loses: pretty much the same as above except Harris is even less likely to run.

I think she's almost certainly going to run if they win in November, so I think she's in the appropriate column for now. If she and Joe lose, I'd probably bump her down to a 50/50 chance. Losing didn't dissuade Mike Pence from running.

EDIT: Added Jon Ossoff and Adam Schiff to the unlikely list and knocked Fetterman down to 50/50.