Which Gore States Would Kerry Lose?

[Michael Z]

Al Gore won the following 20 states + District of Columbia:

Hawaii, Oregon, Washington, California and New Mexico in the west

Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa and Minnesota in the midwest

Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, Vermont and Maine in the East

Of all of these, which ones would Kerry lose in your opinion?  

Thanks,
HoopsCubs

Iowa, Wisconsin, New Mexico, and Minnesota.  And possibly Oregon.

Yes, that sounds about right.

However Kerry could gain Nevada, Ohio and West Virginia.

[Michael Z]

Kerry could lose Michigan.  Although no matter who wins the nomination Michigan should be close.

I always thought Michigan was a stronghold for the Democrats?