In the next 20 years, the new Republican Party based on civic nationalism will consolidate remaining white working-class Democrats while managing to include non-whites under a banner of national populism, similar to national populist movements in multiracial Latin American countries. Many hispanics will naturally become more Republican as they become more assimilated. Democrats will dispose of their white working-class baggage and become unabashedly progressive, continuing to rely heavily on urban centers, college leftist enclaves, upscale whites, and continued high margins with the black vote. Union workers and people with STEM degrees will skew Republican. Cosmopolitan "creative class" and people with Arts/Humanities degrees will skew Democratic. Single men will skew Republican. Single women Democratic. Suburbs will continue to be the bell weathers. Republican Party: American Nationalism, social common-sense, market economics. Democratic Party: Moral Internationalism, social justice/progressive, market liberalism.
Virginia becomes part of Democratic cosmopolitan base on eastern seaboard, balanced by the west coast. Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina become sought-after southern swing states for Dems. Republican inroads with Hispanics keep New Mexico, Colorado, and Nevada fair, and keep Arizona and Texas as GOP stalwarts. Wisconsin follows Ohio and Iowa towards deeper Republican. Minnesota joins Michigan and Pennsylvania as sought-after northern swing states for Republicans. Maine and New Hampshire follow rural/exurban American trend GOP.
Top Purple states: Colorado, Minnesota, and Florida
