How will these states be identified in 2032?

[Strudelcutie4427]

-Arizona (Toss-up/Tilt D)
-Colorado (Likely D)
-New Mexico (Lean D)
-Virginia (Safe D)
-Florida (Toss-up)
-Alaska (Likely R)
-Texas (Likely R)
-South Carolina (Safe R)
-Georgia (Toss-up)
-Utah (Safe R)
-Montana (Safe R)
-Ohio (Lean R)
-Iowa (Likely R)
-North Carolina (Toss-up)
-Indiana (Likely R)
-Minnesota (Toss-up)
-Wisconsin (Toss-up)
-Michigan (Toss-up)
-Oregon (Likely D)
-New Hampshire (Toss-up)
-Nevada (Lean D)
-Pennsylvania (Toss-up)
-Connecticut (Likely D)
-Rhode Island (Safe D)
-Maine (Toss-up)

[Strudelcutie4427]

-Connecticut - Tossup

Why would Connecticut be a tossup? Trump lost it by more than Bush did.

Bush had connections to CT. I think he was born in new haven. And I doubt it'll be a toss up either given the high black population in the Hartford area and the rich city types in Fairfield county. Best republicans can hope for are the house seats in district 2 and 5