Are there any downballot races(SOS,AG,etc.) where the incumbent party is DOA? (user search)
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  Are there any downballot races(SOS,AG,etc.) where the incumbent party is DOA? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Are there any downballot races(SOS,AG,etc.) where the incumbent party is DOA?  (Read 1512 times)
Rjjr77
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« on: March 28, 2017, 09:52:15 PM »

If Jim Hood leaves AG in Mississippi it's over
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Rjjr77
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« Reply #1 on: April 06, 2017, 10:57:42 PM »

So, ALG's (presumed) leaving makes KY SOS very vulnerable. How do people feel about 'lil Beshear in the AG's office?
He's green and he squeaked through. He's neither safe nor dead right now.

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Rjjr77
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« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2017, 09:49:44 AM »
« Edited: April 13, 2017, 09:46:15 AM by Rjjr77 »

The strong Republicans are all going to go after McCaskill and Galloway has been surprisingly uncontroversial for being an appointee from Jay Nixon.

Galloway is not a major target of the GOP and will likely face a better climate than Missouri Democrats did in 2016. The GOP wants that office obviously.

Only thing that will defeat her is partisanship and staying anonymous. But Galloway's press is positive and fairly frequent.

The county map of her potential victory would be quite interesting. Would be interesting to see if some old yellow dog counties come back to her or if she just racks up margins in suburbs.

 I think she's dead. Her profile is too low, and she doesn't cut that conservative dem streak.in reality her appointment was more political patronage than elevating a rising star. Plus it's not like she's a yellow dog D, she's a classic urban D Missouri candidate.
If she could steal a St Genevieve or even better a St Charles she'd be in great shape, more likely she'll have to have massive STL county numbers and a bigger Boone County share  
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Rjjr77
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« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2017, 11:55:19 AM »

St gen in and of itself isn't important, but it's probably the most swingy rural county in the state, if she flips it, it means her numbers in the rural counties are better than most dems with her profile.
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