When will Texas become a swing state?

[memphis]

Once the children of illegal immigrant (who are themselves citizens) are old enough to vote. Texas went from 61% R in 2004 to 55% R in 2008, while the white vote remained at 75/25 R. As another poster would say, be patient.

[memphis]

Once the children of illegal immigrant (who are themselves citizens) are old enough to vote. Texas went from 61% R in 2004 to 55% R in 2008, while the white vote remained at 75/25 R. As another poster would say, be patient.

This was because the "favorite son" vote actually helped Bush a lot in the Rio Grande valley (much less elsewhere); it is almost impossible to imagine Cameron County coming even close to voting for a Republican not from Texas, but it happily voted for Bush in 2004. In the long-term, yes, as the second and third generations grow up, the state will become more Democratic. However, this needs to be coupled with a weakening of the GOP in the suburbs to tip the state to the Democrats.

I find it hard to believe that Hispanics are uniquely inclined to vote for a "favorite son." Again, the white vote diden't change a bit. What has happenned is that the GOP has gone suicidal on the  immigration issue.

[memphis]

Once the children of illegal immigrant (who are themselves citizens) are old enough to vote. Texas went from 61% R in 2004 to 55% R in 2008, while the white vote remained at 75/25 R. As another poster would say, be patient.

Losing 6 points is insignificant when nationally the Republicans lost 10 points (especially so when ther favorite son was the candidate in the previous election)

Going from 51% to 46% is losing 10 points? Look for a moment at who is voting. White voters in TX voted exactly the same in 2004 and 2008. The GOP lost all 6 points in TX from non-white voters, a group that is guaranteed to get much larger in the next few decades because of the minor citizens that are already living in TX. Republicans need to get their act together in a hurry. Unless they can swing a new region, they're screwed without Texas.

[memphis]

Once the children of illegal immigrant (who are themselves citizens) are old enough to vote. Texas went from 61% R in 2004 to 55% R in 2008, while the white vote remained at 75/25 R. As another poster would say, be patient.

Losing 6 points is insignificant when nationally the Republicans lost 10 points (especially so when ther favorite son was the candidate in the previous election)

Going from 51% to 46% is losing 10 points? Look for a moment at who is voting. White voters in TX voted exactly the same in 2004 and 2008. The GOP lost all 6 points in TX from non-white voters, a group that is guaranteed to get much larger in the next few decades because of the minor citizens that are already living in TX. Republicans need to get their act together in a hurry. Unless they can swing a new region, they're screwed without Texas.

Sorry, my error. But still, going down 6 points when they nationally decline 5 points isn't that significant.

Way to ignore my point entirely. The GOP is going to have to do better with Hispanics to keep Texas in the safe category. Their anti-immigrant hysteria is not helping them long term.

[memphis]

Around the same time that Massachusetts becomes a swing state.

Are millions of GOP-leaning voters moving into MA?