NV-SEN: Rosen in

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Senator-elect Rosen

Some dumbies never learn do they...

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Senator-elect Rosen

Some dumbies never learn do they...

Heller trails Generic Democrat candidate by alot and Hillary won by 6 pts this state

That's one poll a gazzilion political years out from the election. Things change. Also stop spreading false bs, Clinton did not even win Nevada by 2.5 points, let alone 6:

http://silverstateelection.com/

Edit 1: This guy barely even speaks english, and spreads bs without backing it up. Don't believe it folks.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

This is probably obvious but I'll post this anyway, but while Heller is a goner if he votes for it, he isn't a shoo-in if he votes against it. Ask the Blue Dog Democrats.

Who let the blue dogs out? 🐶

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Endorsed, Titus best stay out of this. Tilt D, I'm thinking about 48-45 in favour of Rosen as of now, but this is anyone's game with just a teensy tiny advantage.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

Hmm...let's see here:

1. Democrats are uniting behind Rosen

2. If Heller votes for the hugely unpopular healthcare bill, he will get lambasted and tarred with it

3. If Heller votes against the bill, he will disappoint pro-Trump activists and risk backlash

4. REID MACHINE

5. Early polling favors Rosen

Let's see here troll:

1. probably true

2. I doubt he will, if he does you are probably right

3. better than option #2

4. Rory Reid

5. Early polls loved Hillary

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

Hmm...let's see here:

1. Democrats are uniting behind Rosen

2. If Heller votes for the hugely unpopular healthcare bill, he will get lambasted and tarred with it

3. If Heller votes against the bill, he will disappoint pro-Trump activists and risk backlash

4. REID MACHINE

5. Early polling favors Rosen

Let's see here troll:

1. probably true

2. I doubt he will, if he does you are probably right

3. better than option #2

4. Rory Reid

5. Early polls loved Hillary

Well, Hillary won Nevada and Masto captured a Senate seat too. In any case, perhaps "DOA" may be too presumptive, however I still believe it is a fair conclusion from the available data.

Reid's loss can be attributed to several factors:
1. 2010 was a wave year.
2. Titus lost to Gibbons in '06 by 4 points.
3. Rory Reid isn't terribly charismatic nor was he the incumbent, unlike his daddy.

Look, Heller is in a very tough spot and I think it's fair to say there is a very high probability he will lose.


Also, shoutout to IndyRep for deliberately lying about my thoughts concerning McCaskill.

I agree, Rosen has the advantage, but DOA is far from reality.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

What? It's a Democratic state in a Trump midterm. Heller is screwed.

And whose sock are you?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

A Tarkanian primary challenge likely won't take out Heller, but makes it all the more likely that Rosen will.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Hmm, interesting: Peter Cvjetanovic, one of the participants in the Charlottesville rally/violence, smiled and posed with Dean Heller once.

Could this have a small effect on Heller's reelection chances?

No, it shouldn't.

It's ridiculous to hold politicians responsible for taking pictures with constituents who later go onto be awful people. These pols, in most cases, do not know these weirdos. 

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Poll shows Tarkanian +8 over Heller in the GOP primary

http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/Nevada-Senate-Executive-Summary.pdf

It'd sure make it easier on Rosen if he gets to go up against the Tark next year.

This is the guy Jacky Rosen defeated to take Joe Heck's seat. IIRC, that was the closest race he's run yet, only losing by 3,900 votes.
[/quote]

She won against him in an R+2 Trump District, we are talking about  a D+1 Nevada.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Titus is NOT RUNNING.



https://twitter.com/stevesebelius/status/913160475990532098

Good.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Terrific ad from Heller.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YMUmHXR6o_4

That's one of the first good GOP ads I have seen in a long time.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

It doesn't matter, but apparently that Jesse Sbaih (D)ude outraised Rosen in the primary, raising 2.1 million to Rosen's 1.5.

These self-funding (I assume, anyway) candidates are hilarious to me.

Yep, he got a loan of $2.05M and was outraised in individual contributions 7 to 8:1.

haha why do these people do this

Mid life crisis.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

LMAO

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DUxDXxZ1Tf0#t=600

I'm not watching 15 mins of that bull so if someone can summarize I would appreciate it a lot.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Hot take: I think Rosen outruns Susie Lee in Rosen’s current CD.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Jacky Rosen now leads in the rcp average after a long time.