Without the 22nd Amendment, How Many Terms Would Each President Have Sought?

[Former President tack50]

My guess:

Eisenhower: Still retires, was probably too old at that point and I think not super popular? (not terrible either but still)

JFK: Still dies

LBJ: Could have kept running but didn't so again, doesn't go for a 3rd term

Nixon: See above

Ford: Lost reelection, nothing would change without the 22nd

Carter: See above

Reagan: Most likely he still retires. If he does run again though, he wins but by a small-ish margin. Once it's obvious that his mental health isn't good either he steps down (and HW Bush becomes president) or is removed via the process from the 25th ammendment (and HW Bush becomes acting president for the remainder of his term). If he makes it through the entire term without either happening, he retires and Democrats win in 1992 in a large victory (close to 1996).

HW Bush: See Carter and Ford

Clinton: Probably runs again and wins by a small margin, runs for a 4th time and loses (9/11 doesn't have an influence on 2004's outcome although it would benefit Democrats in the 2002 midterms). 2008 is a tossup although it's probably won by the incumbent Republican president. 2012 is won by Democrats, also by a small margin. 2016 is won by the incumbent Democrat but by a larger margin.

Bush: Probably still retires. If he does run he is either defeated in the primaries, or loses in a landslide close to 1984 levels.

Obama: Runs for a third term and wins by a margin slightly smaller than 2012