The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Wiz in Wis]

PPP national poll (3/27-3/28)
Approve: 40%
Disapprove: 53%

Another "all time low" for a pollster.

[Wiz in Wis]

McClatchy / Marist (3/22 - 3/27)
Approve: 38%
Disapprove: 51%

Generic congressional ballot:
Democrats: 47%
Republicans: 38%

Around D+9 is when the House has a chance of flipping, so this is good this early on.

It is, and this is good news indeed. While the generic ballot technically isn't for state races, it still represents a rather broad view of how the public feels about one party over the other. If these numbers hold in 2017, it could be pretty bad for the GOP in NJ/VA.

However, personally I feel like these numbers are still "reactionary" and not durable. Trump has been under a never-ending stream of scandal or generally bad news coverage, so it's not surprising his approvals/the GOP's numbers are down. I'm not convinced Democratic support on the generic ballot has reached a durable state, where the public is so fed up with Republicans/Trump that almost nothing that is plausible can happen to help the GOP rebound in time. I think it's possible to get there before Nov Oct-Nov 2018, but it'll take at least a year+ rather than a few months.

I think Democrats could win the House with a lower lead than 9 points. Remember that the GOP gerrymander never was made based on a so big collapse in the suburbs.

Usually, higher turnout demos favor the GOP (college educated voters in particular). If that trend has indeed reversed, then a lot of these gerrymanders will be bad news bears for the GOP.

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup:

Approval: 42% (+3)
Disapproval: 55% (-3)

Surging!

[Wiz in Wis]

Rasmussen:

Approve: 45% (-1)
Dissaprove: 55% (+1)

-10

Keep on keeping on, Trump the warhawk. And welcome!

TBH, these probably were complete before the airstrikes.

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup, 20 April

43% (+1)
50% (-2)

I wonder if it is enough for getting 45% in Gallup if Trump just shuts the f%%k up (=no scandals of Obama-tapped-my-phones level).

Trump is truly king of the the low expectations

P.S. It just might be a noise; I know that.

When he's quiet, he's around 43-45... when he's loud, he's at or below 40.

[Wiz in Wis]

Today's Gallup 4/25/17

40% (-/-)
55% (+1)

looks like 40 could be his "quiet" Gallup baseline, not 42-43.

[Wiz in Wis]

CSB:

41% Approve (-2)
53% Disapprove (+4)

Source

you mean CBS

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup

Approve 39% (-1)
Disapprove 56% (+1)

I wonder what's causing his numbers to drop. He hasn't done anything stupid recently

It may be that 40 is his mean approval rating, all else being equal, not 43-45. Then this isn't a drop, it's a reversion.

Also, there has been a bit of AHCA chatter lately... and that issue killed him last month.

[Wiz in Wis]

97% of Trump voters say they're satisfied with their vote according to that poll.

I wonder if that number is even really fungible, since the method is self selection. Trump voters who wouldn't vote for him again may not be likely poll takers, and may say "don't know" more often than "no"

[Wiz in Wis]

The next week will be interesting. Will Trump's approval drop under 35% (on average)?

I wonder how the Religious "Freedom" executive order and AHCA passage will affect his approval rating.

He signed a controversial Executive Order that the courts might (surprise, surprise, surprise!) revoke. The House passed a bill undoing much of Obamacare, and I expect the President to endorse it.

I cannot predict the polling results of such.

President Trump's approval ratings have never gone under 35% in any national poll, although he has gone that far down in some states. The President seemed to have been recovering some.  

Under 35%? The President already has a cult of personality that assures a near minimum of 35% support.

#FakeNews!

https://icitizen.com/insights/trump-job-approval-april-24-27-2017/

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup 5/10

40% (-/-)
53% (-/-)

[Wiz in Wis]

It is too early. 36% is as low as I can imagine for a president who does not have an economy in free-fall, an international calamity, a sex scandal, or bungling of a national disaster -- none of which apply to the President.

This said, the firing of Director Comey does not look good.  

A sex scandal won't do anything to how his voters see him.

Sure, it was awful when it was Bill Clinton.  Now that it's their Führer, it's not a big deal.

Two words... Piss tape.

[Wiz in Wis]

It is too early. 36% is as low as I can imagine for a president who does not have an economy in free-fall, an international calamity, a sex scandal, or bungling of a national disaster -- none of which apply to the President.

This said, the firing of Director Comey does not look good.  

A sex scandal won't do anything to how his voters see him.

Sure, it was awful when it was Bill Clinton.  Now that it's their Führer, it's not a big deal.

Two words... Piss tape.

I still don't think they'd care, honestly.

I mean, sure, EnglishPete would be A-Ok with it, but he would at least drop to Dubya 08 levels.

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup (May 11th)

41% Approve (+3)
54% Disapprove (-1)

I fail to see how anyone could honestly be liking what he is doing.

There are people (I know one) who still approved of Nixon and felt he was unfairly hounded from office.

Don't freak out about 1 day movements... Watergate occurred over 2 years, Bush's approval dip took months after Katrina... etc

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup
38% Approve
57% Disapprove

Not totally related, but today's update also included the first negative "Economic Confidence" metric since Trump won the election. Despite the jobs numbers and all the positive economic indicators, it looks like people are souring on more than just Trump.