Pollster
YaBB God
Posts: 3,766
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« on: June 09, 2017, 05:12:32 PM » |
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Senate majority will not be in play unless Trump is below 30% approval, which I doubt happens unless he sends troops into Mexico. Dems breaking even/sustaining 2-3 losses would be a win.
In the House, Dems need to win back the majority for it to be considered a victory, anything less leaves the GOP with the trifecta and will infuriate progressives.
At the state level, I'm paying less attention to governorships and more attention to state legislatures, especially in states where Clinton 2016 outperformed Obama 2012. Regarding governorships, Dems need to take back/hold all of the Clinton states (NM, IL, NV, the New England states challenging but doable) and makes gains in at least one swing/light-red/special circumstance states (MI, WI, FL, GA, KS, I don't think IA or AK are out of the realm of possibility).
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