Early 2012-2018 Senate swing map predictions? (user search)

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Early 2012-2018 Senate swing map predictions? (search mode)

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Topic: Early 2012-2018 Senate swing map predictions? (Read 3296 times)

Cactus Jack
azcactus
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,956

Re: Early 2012-2018 Senate swing map predictions?

« on: June 30, 2017, 09:56:57 PM »

Quote from: MT Treasurer on June 30, 2017, 05:27:33 PM

Not really sure about AZ and MS.

This seems about right, though I would contest some of the Midwestern states. I don't think 2016 necessarily means that Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan have suddenly shifted violently to the right. Also, I suspect we'll see Arizona inch ever leftward.

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Cactus Jack
azcactus
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,956

Re: Early 2012-2018 Senate swing map predictions?

« Reply #1 on: June 30, 2017, 10:20:53 PM »

Quote from: MT Treasurer on June 30, 2017, 10:09:52 PM

^These Senators won by such a wide margin in 2012 that they really have nowhere to go but down IMO. Also, the swing in WI in this scenario is negligible, Baldwin should win by 4-5 in the end, unless something very weird is happening in the state.

Fair points. I yield to your analysis, though I stand by Arizona.

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