GRAVIS: Generic D 48% Donald Trump 39%

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

If this Generic D fellow does as well as he polls, this is the result (using a universal swing from 2016), Texas is the closest state, going D by .2%


http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/36Ey3.png

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

If this Generic D fellow does as well as he polls, this is the result (using a universal swing from 2016), Texas is the closest state, going D by .2%


http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/36Ey3.png

What's the other vote?

A faithless elector. I was being conservative in assuming that there would be only one faithless elector, considering there were 7 (or 8?) in 2016.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

If this Generic D fellow does as well as he polls, this is the result (using a universal swing from 2016), Texas is the closest state, going D by .2%


http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/36Ey3.png

I have a hard time seeing Texas go Democratic before Iowa and ME-02.

Depends on whether you think 2016 was the start of a trend, or just an aberration.