IN-2: Donnelly (D) has double-digit lead over Chocola (R)

[MarkWarner08]

RT Strategies/Constituent Dynamics Poll:

Joe Donnelly (D): 52%
Chris Chocola (R): 40%

http://www.constituentdynamics.com/mw/2006/index2.html

Interviews: 8-10 Sept., 2006, Sample Size: 1.003 MoE: +/- 2,9-3,1%

Chris Chocola raised $1.9 million for a seemingly easy reelection battle. In May, he had a double digit lead in his internal polls and lead his opponent in cash on hand by 4-1.

Since then, the toll booth issue, the time zone change Mitch Daniels' plummeting popularity, Bush's plummeting popularity and the national turn against the GOP have all created the perfect storm. This perfect storm could send an incumbent who wasn't on the DCCC's top 40 targets just three months ago, into an early retirement.

[MarkWarner08]

3 pickups in Indiana and the Democrats are likely on their way to taking the House. 2 pickups and Democrats will come close or narrowly take the House. One or no pickups in Indiana and Democrats WON'T take back the House.