BREAKING-MS: Musgrove will run for Senate

[Adlai Stevenson]

Barack Obama would be capable of getting up to 43% of the vote in Mississippi I would predict, which is what Bill Clinton managed in 1996.  Who knows?  If African-American turnout rises in a big way with the first black ever nominated for President and young people, who gave Kerry a majority in Mississippi in 2004, are inspired to vote, Obama could surprise many people in the South, not just Missisippi.  I'm not going to go as far as saying he could win, but he could potentially do better than just about any Democratic nominee since Jimmy Carter.  Up to 46% of the vote in Mississippi and South Carolina.  Around 43% of the vote in Alabama.  He could tap into Harold Ford, Jr's base of support in Tenessee and get 45%-47% there.

Anyway regardless, I'm pleased Musgrove is running.  It gives Democrats at least a viable shot at the seat.  I'd like to see some polling - I'd predict that Wicker would lead Musgrove about 43%-40%, or possibly lower, with many undecided.  I wouldn't be surprised if the race ended up mirroring Trent Lott vs. Wayne Dowdy in 1988, about 54%-45% for Wicker. 

[Adlai Stevenson]

Walter has to make up for his absolutely insanely awful prediction record by mocking predictions that no one has made.

Thats what I thought when I saw his post.  Its sad really when the occasionally overly partisan post marrs an intelligent and thoughtful discussion - and its even sadder when its not HardRCafe - perhaps his presence is corrupting the other Republicans?