Sam Spade's (FINAL, see p.10) Congressional and Senatorial prediction thread... (user search)
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  Sam Spade's (FINAL, see p.10) Congressional and Senatorial prediction thread... (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sam Spade's (FINAL, see p.10) Congressional and Senatorial prediction thread...  (Read 14551 times)
opebo
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Posts: 47,009
« on: October 20, 2006, 02:12:34 AM »
I have been following your thread with interest, Sam Spade, and I think your predictions are very good.  However the one thing that I find a bit difficult to understand is why you think your tossup Tennessee will go Democrat and your tossup Missouri will go Republican. 

Is this based solely on poll-watching, or also in Talent's incumbency or a comparison of the scale of Republican money-advantage in each race?

I confess I find it difficult to imagine Tennessee electing a black before Missouri elects McCaskill - I think race is a hugely underrated factor in the TN contest. 
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