CA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by a 2008-like margin (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 11:17:27 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  CA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by a 2008-like margin (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: CA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by a 2008-like margin  (Read 811 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: September 12, 2012, 11:00:44 PM »

57-35 Obama

...

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research.

SurveyUSA interviewed 750 California adults 09/09/12 through 09/11/12. Of the adults, 619 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 524 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before Election Day.

This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (78% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (22% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

In 2008, Obama carried California by 24 points. Today, Obama leads by 22 points.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=26d4dab7-8c9c-4c48-9eea-71be8f536341
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2012, 11:17:19 PM »

Obama should break 60% again. Sure, some of the sleezy Orange County Republicans will swing back towards Romney but that won`t be enough to counteract the fact that

1. California is getting more Mexican
2. Mexicans are swinging hard towards the Democrats

Obama leads everywhere, even with Whites (+9). Blacks are almost at 90%, Hispanics almost at 70% and Obama also leads with the Asians.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 13 queries.